Reds vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 16

Updated Jul. 16, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Cincinnati Reds and Jonathan India ready for the final of a six-game series against Willy Adames and the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday at Great American Ball Park. The Reds are favored in this one, at -143, while the underdog Brewers have +122 odds to upset. Cincinnati (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's over/under has been set at 11 runs.

The starting pitchers are Ben Lively (4-5) for the Cincinnati Reds, and Adrian Houser (3-2) for the Milwaukee Brewers.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Brewers game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Reds vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 16, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-143	+122	11	-112	-108	-1.5	+122	-144

Reds vs. Brewers Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Brewers 4
Total Prediction: Under 11 runs
Win Probabilities:

Reds vs. Brewers Betting Insights

The Reds have entered the game as favorites 24 times this season and won 16, or 66.7%, of those games.
Cincinnati is 5-1 this season when entering a game favored by -143 or more on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 58.8%.
The Brewers have been victorious in 24, or 53.3%, of the 45 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win 10 times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 45% chance of pulling out a win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have a 4-1 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Reds combined with their opponents to go over the run total four times.
The Reds have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4
HR	12
ERA	3.13
K/9	7.5

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Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer provides the Reds with a shot of both power and average, leading the team in dingers with 14 and hitting at .273. He has also driven in 51 runs this season.
Among all hitters in MLB, Steer ranks 53rd in homers and 42nd in RBI.
Jonathan India is hitting .245 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
India is 62nd in homers and 48th in RBI on the season.
Jake Fraley leads the Reds with 52 runs batted in.
TJ Friedl is hitting .296 with 13 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 26 walks.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+280)	0.5 (+120)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
Jake Fraley	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+140)
Jonathan India	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Brewers have a record of 3-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Brewers have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	4.6
HR	11
ERA	3.33
K/9	11

Brewers Player Insights

The Brewers are led in runs batted in by Christian Yelich with a mark of 47, he also leads the team in hitting, posting an average of .278.
In all of the majors, Yelich is 75th in home runs and 55th in RBI.
Willy Adames has shown off his power as he paces his team with 16 home runs.
Adames is currently 32nd in home runs and 62nd in RBI in the major leagues.
William Contreras is batting .272 with 15 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
Joey Wiemer is batting .212 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 29 walks.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Yelich	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+145)
Owen Miller	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)
Raimel Tapia	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+180)
Willy Adames	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+310)	0.5 (+120)
William Contreras	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+155)

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