Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:01 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds will see Miles Mikolas starting for the St. Louis Cardinals in the final game of a three-game series, Sunday at 3:15 PM ET. The Cardinals are +101 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Reds (-120). Cincinnati is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Hunter Greene (4-6), and Mikolas (8-13) answering the bell for the St. Louis Cardinals.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET
  • Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: BSMW
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -120 +101 8.5 -104 -116 -1.5 +138 -163

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Cardinals 6, Reds 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 51%, Cardinals 49%

Reds vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Reds have entered the game as favorites 43 times this season and won 24, or 55.8%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 14-15, a 48.3% win rate, when favored by -120 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • The Cardinals have been underdogs in 83 games this season and have come away with the win 35 times (42.2%) in those contests.
  • St. Louis has a win-loss record of 29-37 when favored by +101 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds were the moneyline favorite for six of their last 10 games, and went 2-4 in those matchups.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Reds are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 7
HR 21
ERA 6.65
K/9 9

Reds Player Insights

  • Spencer Steer paces the Reds in home runs (23) and runs batted in (86).
  • Steer ranks 62nd in home runs and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
  • Steer has collected a hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and three RBI.
  • Friedl is batting .279 to lead his team.
  • Friedl ranks 111th in homers in MLB, and 105th in RBI.
  • Friedl heads into this game looking for his 11th game in a row with a hit. During his last 10 games he is hitting .351 with two doubles, four home runs, eight walks and 10 RBI.
  • Jonathan India is batting .244 with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 52 walks.
  • India has at least one base hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with three doubles, a home run, five walks and three RBI.
  • Jake Fraley is batting .256 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 37 walks.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jonathan India 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
TJ Friedl 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+175)
Jake Fraley 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+140)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-278) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+150)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

  • In nine games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 3-6.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Cardinals have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 5
ERA 5.63
K/9 6.4

Cardinals Player Insights

  • Paul Goldschmidt leads the team in batting average with a mark of .268.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Goldschmidt's home run total is 45th and his RBI tally is 52nd.
  • Lars Nootbaar is batting .263 with 24 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 72 walks.
  • Nootbaar ranks 161st in homers and 189th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
  • Tommy Edman is hitting .246 with 25 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 35 walks.
  • Jordan Walker has 18 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks while batting .269.

Cardinals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Tommy Edman 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+280)
Richie Palacios 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+240)
Lars Nootbaar 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (-154) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+215)
Paul Goldschmidt 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (-200) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+180)
Andrew Knizner 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+210)
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