Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 29

Updated Sep. 29, 2023 7:06 p.m. ET

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TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds will try to out-hit Paul Goldschmidt and the St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on Friday at 8:15 PM ET. The Reds are -116 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Cardinals (-104). Cincinnati is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). A 9-run total has been set in this game.

The scheduled starters are Brandon Williamson (4-5) for the Cincinnati Reds, and Jake Woodford (2-2) for the St. Louis Cardinals.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, September 29, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
• Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSMW

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cardinals 6, Reds 5
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 51%, Cardinals 49%

Reds vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Reds have won 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Cincinnati has won 17 of its 34 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -116 on the moneyline.
• The Reds have a 53.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Cardinals have won in 34, or 42%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 30 times in 68 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 51% chance of walking away with the win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have a 1-3 record from the four games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Reds combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Reds have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Spencer Steer leads the Reds in home runs (22) and runs batted in (85).
• Steer's home runs rank him 68th in the majors, and he ranks 40th in RBI.
• Steer carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .261 with two doubles, a triple and three RBI.
• Friedl has a club-high .280 batting average.
• Including all MLB batters, Friedl ranks 108th in home runs and 105th in RBI.
• Friedl carries an eight-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last 10 outings he is batting .382 with a double, four home runs, seven walks and nine RBI.
• Jonathan India is batting .242 with 23 doubles, 16 home runs and 50 walks.
• Jake Fraley is hitting .256 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 37 walks.

Reds Team Props

Learn more about this Reds vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• In nine games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Cardinals had a record of 3-6.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Cardinals and their opponents are 3-7-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Cardinals have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Goldschmidt is hitting .267 with 29 doubles, 25 home runs and 86 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .362.
• Goldschmidt ranks 44th in homers and 57th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
• Lars Nootbaar is batting .262 with 24 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 71 walks.
• Nootbaar is 172nd overall in homers and 202nd in RBI this season.
• Tommy Edman has 25 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .246.
• Jordan Walker is hitting .270 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

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