Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 30

Updated Sep. 30, 2023 7:11 p.m. ET

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Connor Phillips gets the nod for the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday against Lars Nootbaar and the St. Louis Cardinals. First pitch is at 7:15 PM ET for this second game in a three-game series. The favored Reds have -132 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Cardinals, who are listed at +111. Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The game's over/under has been listed at 9 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Phillips (1-0), and Drew Rom (1-4) taking the ball for the St. Louis Cardinals.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET
• Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
• How to Watch on TV: BSMW

Reds vs. Cardinals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Cardinals 7, Reds 6
• Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 50%, Cardinals 50%

Reds vs. Cardinals Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have been favored 42 times and won 24, or 57.1%, of those games.
• Cincinnati has a record of 10-9 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
• The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Reds.
• The Cardinals have won in 34, or 41.5%, of the 82 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• St. Louis has a win-loss record of 22-28 when favored by +111 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds went 2-3 across the five games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Reds combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
• The Reds' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Spencer Steer has racked up a team-high 23 home runs and 86 runs batted in.
• Steer is 60th in home runs and 41st in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Steer carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .318 with two doubles, a triple, a home run and four RBI.
• TJ Friedl's .280 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Among all major league hitters, Friedl is 110th in home runs and 102nd in RBI.
• Friedl has nine straight games with at least one hit. During his last 10 outings he is batting .353 with two doubles, four home runs, seven walks and 10 RBI.
• Jonathan India is batting .244 with 23 doubles, 17 home runs and 51 walks.
• India is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .389 with three doubles, a home run, six walks and three RBI.
• Jake Fraley has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 37 walks while batting .256.

Reds Team Props

Learn more about this Reds vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.

Cardinals Recent Betting Performance

• The Cardinals have played as underdogs in nine of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Cardinals have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cardinals Recent Stats

Cardinals Player Insights

• Paul Goldschmidt has 29 doubles, 25 home runs and 86 walks while batting .266.
• Goldschmidt is 44th in homers and 58th in RBI among all batters in the big leagues.
• Nootbaar is batting .261 with 24 doubles, a triple, 13 home runs and 71 walks.
• Nootbaar ranks 173rd among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 202nd in RBI.
• Tommy Edman is hitting .245 with 25 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 34 walks.
• Jordan Walker is hitting .268 with 16 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 37 walks.

Cardinals Team Props

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