Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

Reds vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 31

Updated Jul. 31, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Elly De La Cruz and Isaac Paredes are the hottest hitters on the Cincinnati Reds and Chicago Cubs, who play on Wednesday at Great American Ball Park, at 7:10 PM ET. The Cubs are +129 moneyline underdogs for this matchup against the Reds (-153). Cincinnati is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +131 odds). The game's over/under is listed at 9.5 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Cubs vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Chicago Cubs took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.
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Reds vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

  • When: Wednesday, July 31, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -153 +129 9.5 -110 -110 -1.5 +131 -156

Reds vs. Cubs Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 4, Cubs 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Cubs 45%

Reds vs. Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Reds have entered the game as favorites 47 times this season and won 25, or 53.2%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 9-5, a 64.3% win rate, when favored by -153 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 60.5% chance to win.
  • The Cubs have been underdogs in 60 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (46.7%) in those contests.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win eight times in 12 chances when named as an underdog of at least +129 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cubs have a 43.7% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
CHC 13 · CIN 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Chicago Cubs
CHC
Cincinnati Reds
CIN

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds did not win a game while favored on the moneyline in the last 10 games in three tries.
  • In their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Reds' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 10
ERA 3.45
K/9 8.3

Reds Player Insights

  • De La Cruz has left the yard 18 times this season, the highest mark on the Reds, while hitting .262 with 45 RBI.
  • In all of the majors, De La Cruz is 29th in homers and 85th in RBI.
  • De La Cruz carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .333 with a home run, a walk and an RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has been productive as he leads his team with 65 RBI.
  • Of all MLB hitters, Steer ranks 61st in home runs and 23rd in RBI.
  • Steer carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .150 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
  • Jonathan India paces the Reds with a team-high batting average of .264.
  • India has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .118 with a double and three walks.
  • Jeimer Candelario has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .227.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+170)
Spencer Steer 0.5 () 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+115)
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-210) 1.5 () 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+150)
Jeimer Candelario 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+165)
Santiago Espinal 0.5 (-230) 1.5 () 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+195)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Cubs have a record of 3-2.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
  • The Cubs have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.7
HR 7
ERA 3.58
K/9 7.8

Cubs Player Insights

  • Paredes has swatted a team-leading 16 long balls.
  • Among all batters in the majors, Paredes' home run total is 48th and his RBI tally is 44th.
  • Ian Happ has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 16 home runs and 60 RBI.
  • Among all major league hitters, Happ is 48th in home runs and 32nd in RBI.
  • Nico Hoerner is batting .250 with 21 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 33 walks.
  • Seiya Suzuki is batting .268 with 16 doubles, three triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks.

Cubs Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Seiya Suzuki 0.5 (-280) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+170)
Isaac Paredes 0.5 (-220) 1.5 () 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+195)
Cody Bellinger 0.5 (-245) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+170)
Nico Hoerner 0.5 () 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+230)
Dansby Swanson 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (-195) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)

Cubs vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Chicago Cubs took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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