Reds vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Christian Walker and the Arizona Diamondbacks hit the field on Friday at Great American Ball Park against Ben Lively, who will start for the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch will be at 7:10 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Reds are favored in this one, at -122, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +102 odds to play spoiler. Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The game's total is listed at 11 runs.

The Cincinnati Reds will give the start to Lively (4-5, 3.72 ERA), who is looking for win No. 5 on the season, and the Diamondbacks will counter with Tommy Henry (5-2, 3.89 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 21, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-122	+102	11	-112	-108	-1.5	+146	-175

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Under 11 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 52%, Diamondbacks 48%

Reds vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Reds have won 18, or 66.7%, of the 27 games they've played as favorites this season.
Cincinnati has a record of 8-6, a 57.1% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by bookmakers this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 55% chance of a victory for the Reds.
The Diamondbacks have won in 26, or 49.1%, of the 53 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This year, Arizona has won 18 of 42 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Diamondbacks have a 49.5% chance of pulling out a win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have a 2-2 record over the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total three times.
The Reds' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.4
HR	12
ERA	3.74
K/9	8.3

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Reds Player Insights

Jonathan India leads the Reds with 14 home runs.
Among all MLB hitters, India ranks 86th in batting average, 60th in on-base percentage, and 89th in slugging.
India carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with two doubles, a home run and two RBI.
Spencer Steer has shown his power as he leads his team with 14 home runs.
Steer ranks 60th in homers and 49th in RBI on the year.
Jake Fraley leads the Reds with 56 runs batted in.
TJ Friedl's .286 batting average paces his team.
Friedl has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .158 with a double.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nick Senzel	0.5 (-270)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+175)
Jonathan India	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+170)
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+130)
Will Benson	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (-135)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+200)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 2-4 in those contests.
The Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Diamondbacks have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	10
ERA	5.90
K/9	7.6

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll paces the Diamondbacks with a team-leading batting average of .286.
Among all batters in the majors, Carroll ranks 18th in homers and 49th in RBI.
Walker has hit 20 home runs with 63 RBI, leading the team in both categories.
Walker is 16th overall in home runs and 13th in RBI this season.
Ketel Marte is hitting .282 with 18 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 38 walks.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is batting .263 with 22 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 21 walks.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Walker	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+120)
Ketel Marte	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+150)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+145)
Corbin Carroll	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+130)
Geraldo Perdomo	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+235)

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