Reds vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 16

Updated Aug. 16, 2023 6:08 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Cincinnati Reds and Spencer Steer will take the field against the Cleveland Guardians and Steven Kwan on Wednesday at 6:40 PM ET, at Great American Ball Park. The Reds have been listed as -170 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Guardians (+144). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the matchup has been listed at 9.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Andrew Abbott (7-3), and Noah Syndergaard (2-5) answering the bell for the Cleveland Guardians.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Reds vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-170	+144	9.5	-102	-118	-1.5	+114	-136

Reds vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 54%, Guardians 46%

Reds vs. Guardians Betting Insights

This season, the Reds have been favored 33 times and won 19, or 57.6%, of those games.
Cincinnati has a record of 2-2 when favored by -170 or more by bookmakers this season.
The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 63% chance of a victory for the Reds.
The Guardians have been underdogs in 57 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (42.1%) in those contests.
Cleveland has a mark of 1-8 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +144 or worse on the moneyline.
The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 41% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds were favored on the moneyline five times in the last 10 games, but they lost each matchup.
In their last 10 outings, the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total two times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Reds have a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	12
ERA	4.15
K/9	9.1

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Reds Player Insights

Steer is the Reds best power hitter, connecting on 18 home runs this season in addition to collecting 66 RBI, both team highs.
Of all hitters in baseball, Steer's home run total ranks him 56th, and his RBI tally ranks him 38th.
TJ Friedl's .274 batting average is a team-high mark.
Friedl ranks 174th in home runs in MLB, and 121st in RBI.
Matt McLain has 22 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 26 walks while batting .294.
Tyler Stephenson is batting .245 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 42 walks.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-256)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+130)
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+210)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+300)	0.5 (+135)
Luke Maile	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (-154)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+230)
Will Benson	0.5 (-141)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+225)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Guardians have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	4
ERA	3.16
K/9	9.9

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez has swatted a team-high 18 home runs.
Among all hitters in the big leagues, Ramirez is 56th in homers and 41st in RBI.
Kwan is batting .274 with 27 doubles, five triples, five home runs and 49 walks.
Kwan is 270th in homers and 148th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
Andres Gimenez has 21 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 27 walks while hitting .242.
Myles Straw is batting .237 with 15 doubles, three triples, a home run and 36 walks.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
José Ramírez	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+295)	0.5 (+135)
Ramón Laureano	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+155)
Oscar Gonzalez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+135)
Andrés Giménez	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+215)
Tyler Freeman	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+215)

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