Reds vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 11

Updated Jun. 11, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Cincinnati Reds and Tyler Stephenson will square off against David Fry and the Cleveland Guardians at Great American Ball Park on Tuesday, with the first pitch at 7:10 PM ET. The Reds are favored in this one, at -112, while the underdog Guardians have -107 odds to upset. Cleveland is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under has been set at 9 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Steven Kwan's two-run homer jump starts six-run rally to give Guardians 8-0 lead over Marlins

Steven Kwan crushed a two-run home run that jump started a six-run rally that gave the Cleveland Guardians and 8-0 lead over the Miami Marlins.

Reds vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, June 11, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Reds vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 4, Guardians 3
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 50%, Guardians 50%

Reds vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have been favored 29 times and won 18, or 62.1%, of those games.
• Cincinnati has a record of 16-11 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -112 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 52.8%.
• The Guardians have been underdogs in 19 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (57.9%) in those contests.
• This season, Cleveland has been victorious 11 times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

CLE 5 · CIN 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

-1.5

-107

O 9

Cincinnati Reds

CIN

+1.5

-112

U 9

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds played as the moneyline favorite in six of their last 10 games, and won every time.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Reds are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 40 runs batted in.
• In all of the majors, Steer ranks 84th in homers and 20th in RBI.
• Steer carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .150 with a double, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Elly De La Cruz's 11 home runs lead his team.
• Of all MLB hitters, De La Cruz ranks 29th in home runs and 74th in RBI.
• Jonathan India leads the Reds with a team-best batting average of .243.
• India is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. In his last five games he is hitting .267 with a home run, three walks and seven RBI.
• Jeimer Candelario is batting .234 with 14 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 18 walks.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• Oddsmakers have not installed the Guardians as underdogs in any of their last 10 games.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 4-4-2 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Guardians have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians in home runs (18), runs batted in (62) and has posted a team-best batting average of .275.
• Ramirez ranks fourth in home runs and first in RBI among all batters in the majors.
• Josh Naylor has nine doubles, 16 home runs and 25 walks while hitting .220.
• Naylor ranks seventh among all batters in MLB in homers, and ninth in RBI.
• Steven Kwan is batting .370 with seven doubles, two triples, four home runs and 16 walks.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .263 with 10 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 11 walks.

Steven Kwan's two-run homer jump starts six-run rally to give Guardians 8-0 lead over Marlins

Steven Kwan crushed a two-run home run that jump started a six-run rally that gave the Cleveland Guardians and 8-0 lead over the Miami Marlins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds - 06/11/2024

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