Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2023 12:21 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Graham Ashcraft will start for the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday against Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 12:35 PM ET for this final game in a three-game series. The Reds are listed as -121 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Marlins (+102). Cincinnati is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 10 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Ashcraft (6-7), and Johnny Cueto (0-3) answering the bell for the Miami Marlins.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-121	+102	10	-110	-111	-1.5	+157	-186

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 53%, Marlins 47%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Reds have won 19, or 61.3%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
Cincinnati has a record of 9-9, a 50% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by bookmakers this season.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Reds.
The Marlins have won in 24, or 42.1%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Miami has been victorious 15 times in 43 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

Over the last 10 games, the Reds were the moneyline favorite three times, but they lost every matchup.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
The Reds have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	18
ERA	6.65
K/9	9.4

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Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer paces the Reds in home runs (17) and runs batted in (63).
In all of Major League Baseball, Steer is 56th in homers and 39th in RBI.
Steer carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .118 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
TJ Friedl is hitting .283 to pace his team.
Friedl ranks 159th in home runs in the majors, and 109th in RBI.
Friedl carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, a triple, two home runs and seven RBI.
Matt McLain is hitting .298 with 21 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
Tyler Stephenson is batting .248 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 41 walks.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
TJ Friedl	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+235)	0.5 (+115)
Spencer Steer	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+140)
Nick Senzel	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+190)
Will Benson	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (-159)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Marlins had a record of 1-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Marlins are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	13
ERA	4.96
K/9	10.1

Marlins Player Insights

Luis Arraez paces the Marlins with a .370 batting average.
Arraez's home run total places him 312th in MLB, and he ranks 76th in RBI.
Soler has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 28 home runs and 62 RBI.
Soler is currently eighth in home runs and 43rd in RBI in the major leagues.
Bryan De La Cruz has 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 31 walks while batting .264.
Jake Burger is hitting .213 with 16 doubles, a triple, 26 home runs and 25 walks.

Marlins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Joey Wendle	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+165)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+250)
Jesús Sánchez	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+180)
Jake Burger	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+135)
Jorge Soler	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+285)	0.5 (+135)
Josh Bell	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+150)

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