Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2023 12:21 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Graham Ashcraft will start for the Cincinnati Reds on Wednesday against Jorge Soler and the Miami Marlins. First pitch is at 12:35 PM ET for this final game in a three-game series. The Reds are listed as -121 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Marlins (+102). Cincinnati is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the matchup is listed at 10 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Ashcraft (6-7), and Johnny Cueto (0-3) answering the bell for the Miami Marlins.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, August 9, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -121 +102 10 -110 -111 -1.5 +157 -186

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 10 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 53%, Marlins 47%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

  • The Reds have won 19, or 61.3%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 9-9, a 50% win rate, when favored by -121 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • The Marlins have won in 24, or 42.1%, of the 57 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Miami has been victorious 15 times in 43 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the last 10 games, the Reds were the moneyline favorite three times, but they lost every matchup.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total three times.
  • The Reds have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 18
ERA 6.65
K/9 9.4

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Reds Player Insights

  • Spencer Steer paces the Reds in home runs (17) and runs batted in (63).
  • In all of Major League Baseball, Steer is 56th in homers and 39th in RBI.
  • Steer carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .118 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • TJ Friedl is hitting .283 to pace his team.
  • Friedl ranks 159th in home runs in the majors, and 109th in RBI.
  • Friedl carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .316 with a double, a triple, two home runs and seven RBI.
  • Matt McLain is hitting .298 with 21 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 25 walks.
  • Tyler Stephenson is batting .248 with 14 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 41 walks.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)
Joey Votto 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+235) 0.5 (+115)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Nick Senzel 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+190)
Will Benson 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (-159) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+205)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

  • In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Marlins had a record of 1-4.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
  • The Marlins are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 13
ERA 4.96
K/9 10.1

Marlins Player Insights

  • Luis Arraez paces the Marlins with a .370 batting average.
  • Arraez's home run total places him 312th in MLB, and he ranks 76th in RBI.
  • Soler has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 28 home runs and 62 RBI.
  • Soler is currently eighth in home runs and 43rd in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Bryan De La Cruz has 24 doubles, 15 home runs and 31 walks while batting .264.
  • Jake Burger is hitting .213 with 16 doubles, a triple, 26 home runs and 25 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Joey Wendle 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+165) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+250)
Jesús Sánchez 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+180)
Jake Burger 0.5 (-244) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+135)
Jorge Soler 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+285) 0.5 (+135)
Josh Bell 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)

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