Reds vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 12

Updated Jul. 12, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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Tyler Stephenson and the Cincinnati Reds will play Jazz Chisholm and the Miami Marlins at Great American Ball Park on Friday. The Reds are -175 moneyline favorites for this matchup with the Marlins (+148). Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +114 odds). A 9-run total has been set in this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Houston Astros on Wednesday, July 10.

Reds vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 12, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Reds vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Reds 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 59%, Marlins 41%

Reds vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Reds have won 23, or 56.1%, of the 41 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Cincinnati has a record of 3-2 when favored by -175 or more by sportsbooks this season.
• The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 63.6%.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 28, or 36.4%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win nine times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +148 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 40.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

MIA 4 · CIN 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+145

O 9

Cincinnati Reds

CIN

-1.5

-173

U 9

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• The Reds have a 3-3 record across the six games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Reds have put together a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Spencer Steer has sent home a team-high 59 runs batted in.
• Of all hitters in the majors, Steer's home run total places him 41st, and his RBI tally puts him 15th.
• Elly De La Cruz has hit 15 home runs to lead his team.
• De La Cruz ranks 35th in home runs and 87th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• De La Cruz has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .200 with two doubles, two walks and an RBI.
• Jonathan India has put up a team-high batting average of .276.
• India will look to build on his two-game hitting in this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and two RBI.
• Jeimer Candelario is hitting .240 with 19 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
• Candelario brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with two doubles, a walk and three RBI.

Reds Team Props

Learn more about this Reds vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 1-7.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
• The Marlins have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Chisholm paces the Marlins with a .255 batting average.
• Among all batters in the majors, Chisholm is 67th in homers and 75th in RBI.
• Bryan De La Cruz been a consistent power bat this season, as he paces his team with 16 home runs and 44 RBI.
• Among all MLB hitters, Bryan De La Cruz is 27th in homers and 59th in RBI.
• Josh Bell has 16 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 26 walks while hitting .227.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .244 with 13 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 16 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Astros Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Miami Marlins and the Houston Astros on Wednesday, July 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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