Reds vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 6:09 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Joey Votto and the Cincinnati Reds will hit the field against the Washington Nationals and C.J. Abrams at Great American Ball Park on Friday at 6:40 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Reds as -178 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Nationals +151 moneyline odds. Cincinnati is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 10.5 runs for the matchup (with -115 odds on the over and -104 odds on the under).

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Graham Ashcraft (6-7), and Patrick Corbin (7-11) getting the nod for the Washington Nationals.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Reds vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-178	+151	10.5	-115	-104	-1.5	+103	-123

Reds vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Nationals 4
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Nationals 45%

Reds vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Reds have won 19, or 67.9%, of the 28 games they've played as favorites this season.
Cincinnati has played as favorites of -178 or more twice this season and won both games.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 64% chance of a victory for the Reds.
The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 100 games this year and have walked away with the win 40 times (40%) in those games.
This season, Washington has been victorious 24 times in 49 chances when named as an underdog of at least +151 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 39.8% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds have not been favored on the moneyline in the last 10 games.
In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total four times.
The Reds are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	14
ERA	6.11
K/9	8.5

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Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 17 homers on the year. He's also hitting .275 with 62 RBI.
In all of the majors, Steer is 47th in home runs and 36th in RBI.
Steer brings a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .250 with three doubles, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
Jake Fraley has totaled 63 runs batted in to pace his team.
TJ Friedl has accumulated a team-high batting average of .277.
Matt McLain is batting .304 with 20 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 24 walks.
McLain brings a three-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Kevin Newman	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+155)
Nick Senzel	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+130)
Joey Votto	0.5 (-185)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+150)
Spencer Steer	1.5 (+170)	1.5 (-135)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (-110)
Tyler Stephenson	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 3-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Nationals have won four of their last 10 games against the spread.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	5
ERA	4.86
K/9	6.5

Nationals Player Insights

Lane Thomas leads the Nationals with 16 home runs and has accumulated a team-high batting average of .282.
Thomas is 59th in homers and 54th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Abrams has 19 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 18 walks while batting .257.
Abrams ranks 149th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 115th in RBI.
Joey Meneses has sent home a team-best 58 runs batted in.
Keibert Ruiz has 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .246.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Dominic Smith	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+190)
Joey Meneses	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+145)
Keibert Ruiz	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)
Stone Garrett	0.5 (-196)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+170)
Lane Thomas	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+160)

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