Reds vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2023 3:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Lane Thomas and the Washington Nationals take the field on Saturday at Great American Ball Park against Andrew Abbott, who is projected to start for the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch is at 4:10 PM ET for the second game of a three-game series. The Reds are -235 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Nationals (+193). Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at -123 odds). The total for the matchup has been set at 10.5 runs.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Abbott (6-2), and Joan Adon getting the nod for the Washington Nationals.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Nationals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Reds vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 4:10 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-235	+193	10.5	-108	-112	-1.5	-123	+102

Reds vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 4, Nationals 3
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 56%, Nationals 44%

Reds vs. Nationals Betting Insights

This season, the Reds have been favored 29 times and won 19, or 65.5%, of those games.
Cincinnati has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -235 odds on them winning this game.
The moneyline for this contest implies a 70.1% chance of a victory for the Reds.
The Nationals have been underdogs in 101 games this season and have come away with the win 41 times (40.6%) in those contests.
This year, Washington has won seven of 18 games when listed as at least +193 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 34.1% chance of walking away with the win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only one time in the last 10 games, and lost that matchup.
Over their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total four times.
The Reds' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.8
HR	16
ERA	6.17
K/9	8.1

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Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer has launched a team-high 17 homers.
Of all hitters in MLB, Steer ranks 51st in home runs and 36th in RBI.
Jake Fraley has capitalized on opportunities as he paces his team with 63 RBI.
TJ Friedl paces the Reds with a .277 batting average.
Matt McLain has 21 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 24 walks while hitting .309.
McLain has recorded at least one hit in four straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .364 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Reds Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Joey Votto	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+260)	0.5 (+110)
Tyler Stephenson	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+185)
Jake Fraley	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Nick Senzel	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+160)
Spencer Steer	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+120)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Nationals matchup on Fox Sports.

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

In eight games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Nationals have a record of 4-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Nationals and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Nationals have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.4
HR	7
ERA	4.19
K/9	6.6

Nationals Player Insights

Thomas paces the Nationals in home runs (18), runs batted in (60) and has posted a team-best batting average of .286.
In all of the big leagues, Thomas is 37th in homers and 40th in RBI.
Joey Meneses has racked up 60 runs batted in to lead his team.
Meneses ranks 169th in home runs and 40th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
C.J. Abrams is hitting .253 with 19 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 18 walks.
Keibert Ruiz is batting .243 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 21 walks.

Nationals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Lane Thomas	-	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+155)
C.J. Abrams	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+230)
Dominic Smith	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+210)
Stone Garrett	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+290)	0.5 (+140)
Riley Adams	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+175)

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