Reds vs. Orioles Prediction, Odds, Picks - May 4

Updated May. 4, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

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The Cincinnati Reds and Baltimore Orioles will play on Saturday at Great American Ball Park, at 6:40 PM ET, with Spencer Steer and Jordan Westburg among those expected to produce at the plate. The favored Reds have -119 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Orioles, who are listed at +100. Baltimore is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +159 odds). The over/under for the game has been listed at 9 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Orioles game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Orioles vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Cincinnati Reds.

Reds vs. Orioles Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, May 4, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
• Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Reds vs. Orioles Prediction

• Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Reds 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Reds 52%, Orioles 48%

Reds vs. Orioles Betting Insights

• This season, the Reds have won 11 out of the 16 games, or 68.8%, in which they've been favored.
• Cincinnati has a record of 10-4 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -119 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 54.3%.
• The Orioles have been underdogs in six games this season and have come away with the win five times (83.3%) in those contests.
• Baltimore has been listed as an underdog of +100 or more on two occasions this season and split those games.
• The Orioles have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

BAL 2 · CIN 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Baltimore Orioles

BAL

-1.5

+103

O 9

Cincinnati Reds

CIN

+1.5

-123

U 9

Reds Recent Betting Performance

• Over the last 10 games, the Reds were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only two times, and they split those games.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over four times.
• The Reds' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Reds Player Insights

• Elly De La Cruz's .288 average and eight homers both put him atop the Reds leaderboard this season.
• De La Cruz's home runs rank him fifth in MLB, and he ranks 30th in RBI.
• De La Cruz brings a hitting streak of five games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, a home run and an RBI.
• Steer has made the most of his opportunities as he paces his team with 22 runs batted in.
• Steer ranks 68th in home runs and 15th in RBI on the year.
• Jonathan India has two doubles, a triple, a home run and 16 walks while hitting .212.
• Tyler Stephenson is hitting .221 with three doubles, three home runs and 10 walks.

Reds Team Props

Learn more about this Reds vs. Orioles matchup on Fox Sports.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

• The Orioles have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and won both contests.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Orioles and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• Over their last 10 games, the Orioles are 5-5-0 against the spread.

Orioles Recent Stats

Orioles Player Insights

• Gunnar Henderson paces the Orioles with 10 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 24.
• Henderson's home run total places him first in the majors, and he ranks 11th in RBI.
• Westburg has five doubles, two triples, five home runs and seven walks while batting .300.
• Westburg ranks 42nd in home runs and 19th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
• Adley Rutschman leads the Orioles' lineup with a .308 batting average.
• Ryan Mountcastle has eight doubles, five home runs and 10 walks while hitting .295.

Orioles Team Props

Orioles vs. Reds Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments in this matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and the Cincinnati Reds.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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