Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Published Sep. 19, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds play Isiah Kiner-Falefa and the Pittsburgh Pirates at Great American Ball Park on Friday at 6:40 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series. The favored Reds have -125 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +105. Cincinnati is the run-line favorite (-1.5). A 9-run total is set for this matchup.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Reds highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Atlanta Braves took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 20, 2024 at 6:40 p.m. ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-125	+105	9	-104	-116	-1.5	+153	-179

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 54%, Pirates 46%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Reds have been favored 63 times and won 33, or 52.4%, of those games.
This season Cincinnati has won 26 of its 49 games, or 53.1%, when favored by at least -125 on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 55.6% chance to win.
The Pirates have won in 35, or 39.8%, of the 88 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 28-40 when favored by +105 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 48.8% chance of walking away with the win.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

In the last 10 games, the Reds have not been favored on the moneyline.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Reds combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
The Reds have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	4.86
K/9	8.7

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 24 homers on the year. He's also hitting .260 with 70 RBI.
Of all hitters in baseball, De La Cruz is 35th in home runs and 57th in RBI.
De La Cruz takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .300 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
Spencer Steer has put up 91 runs batted in to lead his team.
Steer is 65th in homers in MLB, and 19th in RBI.
Jonathan India has 28 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 75 walks while hitting .245.
India has at least one base hit in two games in a row. In his last five games he is hitting .222 with a double, a triple, two walks and three RBI.
Tyler Stephenson is batting .261 to pace his team.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 0-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Pirates have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.3
HR	8
ERA	3.83
K/9	9.1

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 22 home runs and 85 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .280.
Reynolds is 47th in homers and 29th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Oneil Cruz is batting .267 with 34 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 43 walks.
Cruz is 80th in homers and 44th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Andrew McCutchen has 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 57 walks while hitting .237.
Kiner-Falefa is batting .275 with 16 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.