Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 20, 2024 9:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Nick Gonzales hit the field in the first game of a three-game series against Spencer Steer and the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday at Great American Ball Park. Bookmakers list the Reds as -120 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Pirates +100 moneyline odds to win. Cincinnati is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the game has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Reds highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Atlanta Braves took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-120	+100	8.5	-116	-104	-1.5	+170	-204

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 6, Pirates 5
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 54%, Pirates 46%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Reds have been favored 63 times and won 33, or 52.4%, of those games.
Cincinnati has entered 54 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 28-26 in those contests.
The Reds have a 54.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 89 games this year and have walked away with the win 36 times (40.4%) in those games.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 30-46 when favored by +100 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

In the last 10 games, the Reds have not been the moneyline favorite.
Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Reds combined with their opponents to go over the run total five times.
The Reds' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	4.86
K/9	8.7

Reds Player Insights

Elly De La Cruz has launched a team-high 24 home runs.
De La Cruz's home runs put him 37th in MLB, and he is 59th in RBI.
De La Cruz brings a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .300 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
Steer has put up 91 runs batted in to pace his team.
Steer is 67th in homers and 19th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Jonathan India has 28 doubles, two triples, 14 home runs and 75 walks while batting .245.
India will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .222 with a double, a triple, two walks and three RBI.
Tyler Stephenson has a club-high .261 batting average.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 1-3.
The Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	2.9
HR	6
ERA	3.72
K/9	9.0

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds leads the squad with a batting average of .280, while pacing the Pirates in home runs, with 22 and runs batted in with 85.
Reynolds' home run total places him 47th in the big leagues, and he is 30th in RBI.
Reynolds takes a hitting streak of three games into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .211 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
Oneil Cruz has 34 doubles, three triples, 19 home runs and 44 walks while batting .266.
Cruz is 80th overall in home runs and 44th in RBI this season.
Andrew McCutchen is hitting .237 with 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 57 walks.
Isiah Kiner-Falefa is batting .276 with 17 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.