Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 21

Updated Sep. 21, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Rhett Lowder gets the nod for the Cincinnati Reds on Saturday against Oneil Cruz and the Pittsburgh Pirates. First pitch is at 1:10 p.m. ET for this second game in a three-game series. The Reds are the favorite in this one, at -123, while the underdog Pirates have +104 odds to win. Cincinnati is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 9 runs for the matchup (with -118 odds to hit the over and -101 odds on the under).

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

  • When: Saturday, September 21, 2024 at 1:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: SportsNet PT
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -123 +104 9 -118 -101 -1.5 +158 -190

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 6, Pirates 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 54%, Pirates 46%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

  • The Reds have entered the game as favorites 64 times this season and won 34, or 53.1%, of those games.
  • This season Cincinnati has won 27 of its 51 games, or 52.9%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 55.2% chance to win.
  • The Pirates have come away with 36 wins in the 90 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • Pittsburgh has a mark of 30-42 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +104 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Pirates have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.
FINAL
PIT 1 · CIN 7
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Pittsburgh Pirates
PIT
Cincinnati Reds
CIN

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • The Reds were named the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers only once in the last 10 games, and won that matchup.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
  • The Reds' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 8
ERA 5.17
K/9 9.1

Reds Player Insights

  • Elly De La Cruz leads the Reds with 24 homers on the year. He's also hitting .260 with 70 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in baseball, De La Cruz's home run total places him 38th, and his RBI tally ranks him 61st.
  • De La Cruz has collected a hit in five games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a triple, two walks and an RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 91 RBI.
  • Steer ranks 69th in homers and 22nd in RBI in the majors.
  • Jonathan India is hitting .247 with 28 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 76 walks.
  • India will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with a triple, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
  • Tyler Stephenson's .265 batting average paces his team.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jonathan India 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) - 0.5 (+220)
Ty France 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+140)
Tyler Stephenson 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+150)
Santiago Espinal 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+150) - 0.5 (+210)
Spencer Steer 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) - 0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

  • The Pirates have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won one of those contests.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 4-6-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Pirates are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 6
ERA 4.40
K/9 8.3

Pirates Player Insights

  • Bryan Reynolds paces the Pirates in home runs (22), runs batted in (85) and has recorded a team-high batting average of .278.
  • Reynolds' home run total places him 48th in MLB, and he ranks 30th in RBI.
  • Cruz is batting .267 with 34 doubles, three triples, 20 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Cruz ranks 69th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 44th in RBI.
  • Andrew McCutchen has 18 doubles, a triple, 20 home runs and 58 walks while hitting .238.
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa is hitting .274 with 17 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 16 walks.

Pirates Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Andrew McCutchen 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+140)
Oneil Cruz 0.5 (-255) 1.5 (+100) - 0.5 (+125)
Nick Gonzales 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (+110) - 0.5 (+155)
Bryan De La Cruz 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+120) - 0.5 (+160)
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+125) - 0.5 (+175)

Braves vs. Reds highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Atlanta Braves took on the Cincinnati Reds in this regular season matchup.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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