Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 22

Updated Sep. 22, 2023 6:11 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Andre Jackson takes the mound for the Pittsburgh Pirates on Friday at Great American Ball Park against Noelvi Marte and the Cincinnati Reds. First pitch is at 6:40 PM ET. The Pirates have been listed as +131 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favorite Reds (-155). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. A 9.5-run total is listed for the matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Andrew Abbott (8-5), and Jackson (1-3) answering the bell for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, September 22, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-155	+131	9.5	-115	-105	-1.5	+129	-153

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 55%, Pirates 45%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Reds have been favorites in 38 games this season and won 22 (57.9%) of those contests.
Cincinnati has a record of 4-3 when favored by -155 or more by bookmakers this season.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Reds have a 60.8% chance to win.
The Pirates have been chosen as underdogs in 122 games this year and have walked away with the win 53 times (43.4%) in those games.
This year, Pittsburgh has won 28 of 62 games when listed as at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds were favored on the moneyline for three of their last 10 games, and they finished 2-1 in those matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over four times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Reds' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	13
ERA	4.25
K/9	9.6

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer paces the Reds with 22 home runs and 82 runs batted in.
In all of Major League Baseball, Steer ranks 65th in home runs and 42nd in RBI.
Steer takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .400 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
TJ Friedl has a club-best .272 batting average.
Friedl ranks 155th in homers and 127th in RBI among all MLB hitters this year.
Friedl has three straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .278 with an RBI.
Jonathan India is batting .241 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 45 walks.
Jake Fraley is hitting .263 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 36 walks.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In six games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 3-3.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Pirates and their opponents are 5-5-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Pirates have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.9
HR	11
ERA	5.46
K/9	7.4

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds has driven in the most runs for the Pirates with 78 runs batted in.
Among all hitters in MLB, Reynolds' home run total ranks 65th and his RBI tally ranks 52nd.
Ke'Bryan Hayes has a club-leading .277 batting average.
Hayes ranks 155th overall in home runs and 113th in RBI this season.
Jack Suwinski has 25 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Connor Joe is hitting .241 with 28 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 46 walks.