Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2023 6:16 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds square off against the Pittsburgh Pirates and starter Bailey Falter on Saturday at 6:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park. The favored Reds have -134 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Pirates, who are listed at +114. Cincinnati is a 1.5-run favorite (at +145 odds). A 9.5-run over/under is set for this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Connor Phillips (1-0), and Falter (2-9) taking the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-134	+114	9.5	-109	-111	-1.5	+145	-173

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 5, Pirates 4
Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 54%, Pirates 46%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

The Reds have entered the game as favorites 39 times this season and won 22, or 56.4%, of those games.
Cincinnati has a record of 8-7 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -134 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Reds.
The Pirates have been underdogs in 123 games this season and have come away with the win 54 times (43.9%) in those contests.
Pittsburgh has a mark of 45-46 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +114 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 46.7% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds went 1-2 over the three games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Reds' ATS record is 3-7-0 over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	10
ERA	4.96
K/9	10

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer paces the Reds with 22 home runs and 82 runs batted in.
Steer's home runs place him 65th in MLB, and he ranks 43rd in RBI.
Steer has collected a hit in five straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .350 with three doubles, two walks and an RBI.
TJ Friedl is batting .275 to lead his team.
Friedl ranks 139th in home runs in the majors, and 124th in RBI.
Friedl has four straight games with at least one hit. In his last five games he is batting .313 with a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Jonathan India is batting .238 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 45 walks.
Jake Fraley is batting .263 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 37 walks.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Pirates have a record of 4-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
The Pirates have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	15
ERA	5.36
K/9	8.2

Pirates Player Insights

Bryan Reynolds has driven in a team-best 79 runs batted in.
Reynolds ranks 65th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Ke'Bryan Hayes has a club-leading .279 batting average.
Hayes is 139th in homers and 111th in RBI among all major league batters this season.
Jack Suwinski has 25 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
Connor Joe is hitting .239 with 28 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 47 walks.