Reds vs. Pirates Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2023 1:05 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Bryan Reynolds and the Pittsburgh Pirates square off against TJ Friedl and the Cincinnati Reds on Sunday at 1:40 PM ET at Great American Ball Park. The Pirates are +127 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Reds (-150). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The total is 10.5 runs for this contest (with -115 odds to go over and -105 odds on the under).

The Reds will start Brandon Williamson (4-5) against the Pirates and Quinn Priester (3-2).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Pirates game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Pirates Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:40 PM ET
Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSOH

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds	-150	+127	10.5	-115	-105	-1.5	+124	-145

Reds vs. Pirates Prediction

Score Prediction: Reds 6, Pirates 5
Total Prediction: Under 10.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Reds 54%, Pirates 46%

Reds vs. Pirates Betting Insights

This season, the Reds have been favored 40 times and won 22, or 55%, of those games.
Cincinnati is 5-4 this season when entering a game favored by -150 or more on the moneyline.
The Reds have a 60% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Pirates have been underdogs in 124 games this season and have come away with the win 55 times (44.4%) in those contests.
Pittsburgh has a win-loss record of 36-36 when favored by +127 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 44.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

The Reds were the moneyline favorite three times in the last 10 games, but they lost every matchup.
In their last 10 matchups (all 10 of them had set totals), the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times.
The Reds have put together a 3-7-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	13
ERA	5.83
K/9	10.1

Reds Player Insights

Spencer Steer paces the Reds in home runs (22) and runs batted in (83).
Among all MLB batters, Steer is 45th in batting average, 27th in on-base percentage, and 55th in slugging.
Steer carries a six-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .343 with four doubles, two home runs, five walks and five RBI.
Friedl has a club-leading .277 batting average.
Friedl ranks 127th in home runs and 118th in RBI in the bigs.
Friedl carries a five-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with a double, two home runs, four walks and four RBI.
Jonathan India is hitting .239 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 47 walks.
Jake Fraley has 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 37 walks while batting .262.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Pirates matchup on Fox Sports.

Pirates Recent Betting Performance

The Pirates have played as underdogs in eight of their past 10 games and won five of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Pirates and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
The Pirates have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Pirates Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.2
HR	15
ERA	6.47
K/9	8.4

Pirates Player Insights

Reynolds has racked up a team-leading 82 runs batted in.
In all of the big leagues, Reynolds ranks 58th in homers and 44th in RBI.
Ke'Bryan Hayes is batting .278 to lead the lineup.
Hayes ranks 140th overall in homers and 111th in RBI this season.
Jack Suwinski leads the Pirates with 25 long balls.
Connor Joe has 28 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 47 walks while hitting .239.