Reds vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 23

Reds vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - June 23

Updated Jun. 23, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

Elly De La Cruz and the Cincinnati Reds play Rafael Devers and the Boston Red Sox at Great American Ball Park on Sunday. First pitch is at 1:40 PM ET. The Reds are -164 moneyline favorites in this matchup against the Red Sox (+138). Cincinnati is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +122 odds). A 9.5-run over/under is set in this game.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Reds-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Reds vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, June 23, 2024 at 1:40 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSOH
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -164 +138 9.5 -101 -119 -1.5 +122 -145

Reds vs. Red Sox Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 4, Red Sox 3
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 52%, Red Sox 48%

Reds vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

  • The Reds have won 19, or 61.3%, of the 31 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 2-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -164 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 62.1% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • The Red Sox have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 21 times (53.8%) in those contests.
  • This year, Boston has won three of eight games when listed as at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Red Sox have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
BOS 7 · CIN 4
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Cincinnati Reds
CIN

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • Over the last 10 games, the Reds were listed as the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just twice, and they split those games.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total one time (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Reds have a 6-4-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 2.9
HR 12
ERA 3.03
K/9 9.2

Reds Player Insights

  • De La Cruz has 12 doubles, three triples, 13 home runs and 37 walks while batting .240.
  • De La Cruz ranks 31st in homers and 89th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
  • Spencer Steer has capitalized on opportunities as he leads his team with 45 RBI.
  • Steer ranks 78th in homers and 23rd in RBI in the majors.
  • Jeimer Candelario leads the Reds with 14 home runs and has racked up a team-high batting average of .255.
  • Candelario is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is hitting .294 with two home runs and two RBI.
  • Jonathan India is batting .246 with seven doubles, a triple, five home runs and 36 walks.
  • India has recorded at least one hit in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .333 with a double, a home run, a walk and an RBI.

Reds Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
TJ Friedl 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+190)
Spencer Steer 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+295) 0.5 (+110)
Elly De La Cruz 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+175)
Jonathan India 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Tyler Stephenson 1.5 (+210) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Reds vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Red Sox had a record of 6-1.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Red Sox have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 12
ERA 3.74
K/9 8.9

Red Sox Player Insights

  • Jarren Duran leads the team in batting average with a mark of .283.
  • Duran's home run total places him 121st in the majors, and he is 79th in RBI.
  • Duran carries a 12-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is batting .409 with four doubles, two home runs, four walks and seven RBI.
  • Devers has 15 doubles, three triples, 14 home runs and 33 walks while batting .275.
  • Devers ranks 20th in home runs and 44th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Ceddanne Rafaela paces the Red Sox with 41 runs batted in.
  • Tyler O'Neill has put up a team-best 15 home runs.

Red Sox Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+195)
Connor Wong 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+175)
Jarren Duran 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+230)
Tyler O'Neill 0.5 (-190) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+260) 0.5 (+130)
Rafael Devers 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+145)

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Cincinnati Reds
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