Reds vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Reds vs. Twins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 20

Updated Sep. 20, 2023 12:00 p.m. ET

Bailey Ober gets the nod on the mound for the Minnesota Twins against the Cincinnati Reds and Noelvi Marte on Wednesday at 12:35 PM ET. The Reds are -129 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Twins (+109). Cincinnati (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8.5-run total is set in this contest.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Cincinnati Reds looking to Hunter Greene (4-6), and Ober (7-6) taking the ball for the Minnesota Twins.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Reds-Twins game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Reds vs. Twins Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Wednesday, September 20, 2023 at 12:35 PM ET
  • Where: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: MLB Network
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Reds -129 +109 8.5 -118 -102 -1.5 +158 -191

Reds vs. Twins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Reds 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Reds 50%, Twins 50%

Reds vs. Twins Betting Insights

  • This season, the Reds have been favored 37 times and won 22, or 59.5%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati is 10-6 this season when entering a game favored by -129 or more on the moneyline.
  • The bookmakers' moneyline implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Reds.
  • The Twins have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (38.8%) in those contests.
  • Minnesota has a win-loss record of 12-16 when favored by +109 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Twins have an implied victory probability of 47.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Reds Recent Betting Performance

  • In the last 10 games, the Reds were listed as the moneyline favorite by oddsmakers just twice, and they won both games.
  • Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Reds and their opponents combined to go over the total four times.
  • The Reds have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Reds Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 12
ERA 4.15
K/9 8.6

Reds Player Insights

  • Spencer Steer leads the Reds with 22 home runs and 82 runs batted in.
  • Of all batters in the majors, Steer is 63rd in home runs and 41st in RBI.
  • Steer carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .429 with two doubles, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • TJ Friedl has a club-leading .273 batting average.
  • Friedl ranks 153rd in home runs and 131st in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Friedl heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .250 with a walk.
  • Jonathan India is batting .242 with 20 doubles, 16 home runs and 44 walks.
  • Jake Fraley is batting .266 with 18 doubles, 15 home runs and 36 walks.

Learn more about this Reds vs. Twins matchup on Fox Sports.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Twins and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
  • The Twins have a record of 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 16
ERA 3.38
K/9 10.8

Twins Player Insights

  • Max Kepler has swatted a team-leading 22 long balls.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Kepler's home run total ranks 63rd and his RBI tally is 110th.
  • Kepler carries an eight-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .333 with a double, two triples, a home run, five walks and seven RBI.
  • Carlos Correa has 65 RBI while batting .230. Each pace his team.
  • Correa is currently 101st in home runs and 96th in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Willi Castro is batting .249 with 18 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 27 walks.
  • Royce Lewis is hitting .309 with seven doubles, 15 home runs and 20 walks.
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