Royals vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Royals vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Updated Aug. 3, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals will see Carlos Carrasco on the hill for the New York Mets on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Royals as -118 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets -101 moneyline odds to win. Kansas City is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +161 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 runs.

The Kansas City Royals will hand the ball to Brady Singer (6-8, 5.46 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Mets will turn to Carrasco (3-5, 6.40 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Royals-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Royals vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
  • Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
  • How to Watch on TV: BSKC
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Royals -118 -101 9.5 -111 -109 -1.5 +161 -190

Royals vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mets 6, Royals 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Royals 51%, Mets 49%

Royals vs. Mets Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been favorites in 13 games this season and won three (23.1%) of those contests.
  • Kansas City has entered six games this season favored by -118 or more and is 1-5 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
  • The Mets have won in 10, or 28.6%, of the 35 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, New York has come away with a win five times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Mets have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

  • The Royals have not been favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games.
  • Over their last 10 matchups, the Royals and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Royals' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 14
ERA 4.50
K/9 7.6

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Royals Player Insights

  • Witt Jr. is the bat to watch in the Royals lineup, leading the team in batting average (.264), home runs (18), and RBI (62).
  • In all of MLB, Witt Jr. ranks 35th in home runs and 34th in RBI.
  • Witt Jr. carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .522 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 RBI.
  • Salvador Perez has 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 13 walks while batting .246.
  • Perez is 46th in home runs and 108th in RBI on the year.
  • Perez carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
  • Maikel Garcia has 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks while hitting .280.
  • Garcia has at least one base hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .293 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and eight RBI.
  • Edward Olivares has 15 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 15 walks while hitting .248.
  • Olivares has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Royals Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Michael Massey 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+175)
Salvador Pérez 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+115)
Maikel Garcia 1.5 (+130) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+175)
Dairon Blanco 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+160) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+200)
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 (+165) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Royals vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

  • In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 0-3.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Mets have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 12
ERA 4.28
K/9 8.1

Mets Player Insights

  • Francisco Lindor has 23 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 47 walks while batting .234.
  • Lindor is 21st in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Pete Alonso has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 31 home runs and 77 runs batted in.
  • Alonso is currently third in homers and sixth in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Brandon Nimmo has a team-best batting average of .256.
  • Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a .256 batting average.

Mets Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+145)
Pete Alonso 1.5 (+200) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+140)
Jeff McNeil 1.5 (+140) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+160)
Mark Vientos 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+150) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Brett Baty 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+165)

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