Royals vs. Mets Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 3

Updated Aug. 3, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals will see Carlos Carrasco on the hill for the New York Mets on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Royals as -118 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Mets -101 moneyline odds to win. Kansas City is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +161 odds). The over/under for the game is set at 9.5 runs.

The Kansas City Royals will hand the ball to Brady Singer (6-8, 5.46 ERA), who is looking for win No. 7 on the season, and the Mets will turn to Carrasco (3-5, 6.40 ERA).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Royals-Mets game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Royals vs. Mets Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Royals	-118	-101	9.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+161	-190

Royals vs. Mets Prediction

Score Prediction: Mets 6, Royals 5
Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Royals 51%, Mets 49%

Royals vs. Mets Betting Insights

The Royals have been favorites in 13 games this season and won three (23.1%) of those contests.
Kansas City has entered six games this season favored by -118 or more and is 1-5 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Royals, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
The Mets have won in 10, or 28.6%, of the 35 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, New York has come away with a win five times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least -101 or worse on the moneyline.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 50.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

The Royals have not been favored on the moneyline over the last 10 games.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Royals and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total five times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Royals' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	14
ERA	4.50
K/9	7.6

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Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. is the bat to watch in the Royals lineup, leading the team in batting average (.264), home runs (18), and RBI (62).
In all of MLB, Witt Jr. ranks 35th in home runs and 34th in RBI.
Witt Jr. carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .522 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and 11 RBI.
Salvador Perez has 17 doubles, 17 home runs and 13 walks while batting .246.
Perez is 46th in home runs and 108th in RBI on the year.
Perez carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .200 with a double, a walk and an RBI.
Maikel Garcia has 15 doubles, two triples, four home runs and 22 walks while hitting .280.
Garcia has at least one base hit in six games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .293 with two doubles, a triple, a home run, two walks and eight RBI.
Edward Olivares has 15 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 15 walks while hitting .248.
Olivares has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .222 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Michael Massey	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)
Salvador Pérez	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+115)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+130)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+175)
Dairon Blanco	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+160)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+200)
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+135)

Learn more about this Royals vs. Mets matchup on Fox Sports.

Mets Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mets have a record of 0-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mets and their opponents are 4-6-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Mets have won three of their last 10 games against the spread.

Mets Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.1
HR	12
ERA	4.28
K/9	8.1

Mets Player Insights

Francisco Lindor has 23 doubles, two triples, 21 home runs and 47 walks while batting .234.
Lindor is 21st in homers and 24th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Pete Alonso has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 31 home runs and 77 runs batted in.
Alonso is currently third in homers and sixth in RBI in the big leagues.
Brandon Nimmo has a team-best batting average of .256.
Jeff McNeil paces the Mets with a .256 batting average.

Mets Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Francisco Lindor	1.5 (+195)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+145)
Pete Alonso	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+140)
Jeff McNeil	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+160)
Mark Vientos	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+175)
Brett Baty	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)

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