Royals vs. Red Sox Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 12

Updated Jul. 12, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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The Boston Red Sox will look to Rafael Devers for continued offensive production when they take on Vinnie Pasquantino and the Kansas City Royals on Friday, in the first game of a three-game series at Fenway Park. Oddsmakers list the Royals as -113 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Red Sox -107 moneyline odds. Kansas City is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +139 odds). The over/under for the game has been set at 9 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Royals-Red Sox game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Royals vs. Red Sox Game Information & Odds

• When: Friday, July 12, 2024 at 7:10 PM ET
• Where: Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts
• How to Watch on TV: NESN

Royals vs. Red Sox Prediction

• Score Prediction: Red Sox 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
• Win Probabilities: Royals 53%, Red Sox 47%

Royals vs. Red Sox Betting Insights

• This season, the Royals have won 23 out of the 35 games, or 65.7%, in which they've been favored.
• Kansas City has entered 33 games this season favored by -113 or more and is 22-11 in those contests.
• The Royals have a 53.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Red Sox have been underdogs in 43 games this season and have come away with the win 24 times (55.8%) in those contests.
• This season, Boston has come away with a win 23 times in 40 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.

FINAL

KC 6 · BOS 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Kansas City Royals

KC

-1.5

-113

O 9

Boston Red Sox

BOS

+1.5

-107

U 9

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals were the moneyline favorite for five of their last 10 games, and went 2-3 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Royals and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Royals' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals in runs batted in (62) and has a team-high batting average of .325.
• Witt's home runs put him 35th in the majors, and he is ninth in RBI.
• Witt has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 games he is batting .450 with three doubles, a triple, three home runs, a walk and nine RBI.
• Pasquantino is batting .249 with 22 doubles, two triples, 11 home runs and 32 walks.
• Pasquantino ranks 85th in home runs and 12th in RBI among all MLB batters this year.
• Maikel Garcia has 15 doubles, five triples, six home runs and 28 walks while batting .229.
• Salvador Perez has hit 16 home runs to pace his team.
• Perez is riding a five-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .350 with two home runs and five RBI.

Royals Team Props

Learn more about this Royals vs. Red Sox matchup on Fox Sports.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

• In three games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Red Sox had a record of 2-1.
• The Red Sox and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Red Sox have won seven of their last 10 games against the spread.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Red Sox Player Insights

• Devers paces the Red Sox with 21 home runs and 58 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .289.
• In all of the big leagues, Devers is 10th in home runs and 20th in RBI.
• Jarren Duran is batting .278 with 25 doubles, 10 triples, 10 home runs and 34 walks.
• Duran is 98th among all batters in MLB in home runs, and 80th in RBI.
• Ceddanne Rafaela is hitting .245 with 15 doubles, four triples, 11 home runs and 11 walks.
• Tyler O'Neill has 12 doubles, 16 home runs and 34 walks while batting .256.

Red Sox Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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