Tigers vs. Guardians ALDS Game 5 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 12

Updated Oct. 12, 2024 1:01 p.m. ET

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The Detroit Tigers will visit the Cleveland Guardians in the fifth and final game of the ALDS on Saturday at 1:08 p.m. ET, live on Max from Progressive Field. The winner will advance to the ALCS after the teams split the first four games of the series. The favored Tigers have -117 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Guardians, who are listed at -102. Detroit is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 6 runs for the matchup.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

David Fry smacks a go-ahead two-run homer to help Guardians defeat Tigers, 5-4, in ALDS

David Fry smacked a go-ahead two-run homer to help the Cleveland Guardians defeat the Detroit Tigers, 5-4, in Game 4 of the ALDS.

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Saturday, October 12, 2024 at 1:08 p.m. ET
• Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
• How to Watch on TV: Max

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Guardians 4, Tigers 3
• Total Prediction: Over 6 runs
• Win Probabilities: Tigers 54%, Guardians 46%

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Tigers have been favorites in 68 games this season and won 40 (58.8%) of those contests.
• Detroit has a record of 34-23, a 59.6% win rate, when favored by -117 or more by oddsmakers this season.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 53.9% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
• The Guardians have been victorious in 27, or 45.8%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• Cleveland has a win-loss record of 20-31 when favored by -102 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.

FINAL

DET 3 · CLE 7

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Detroit Tigers

DET

-1.5

-116

O 6

Cleveland Guardians

CLE

+1.5

-104

U 6

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have a 3-2 record from the five games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Tigers have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Riley Greene leads the Tigers in home runs (24), runs batted in (74) and has put up a team-best batting average of .262.
• Of all hitters in MLB, Greene's home run total places him 42nd, and his RBI tally ranks him 61st.
• Greene brings a hitting streak of two games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .235 with three walks and an RBI.
• Matt Vierling is batting .257 with 28 doubles, five triples, 16 home runs and 41 walks.
• Including all MLB hitters, Vierling is 117th in homers and 126th in RBI.
• Colt Keith is hitting .260 with 15 doubles, four triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
• Kerry Carpenter has 16 doubles, five triples, 18 home runs and 22 walks while hitting .284.

Tigers Team Props

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and lost both contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Guardians have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 39 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 118.
• In all of the majors, Ramirez ranks fifth in home runs and third in RBI.
• Josh Naylor is hitting .243 with 27 doubles, 31 home runs and 58 walks.
• Naylor is 18th overall in home runs and eighth in RBI this year.
• Steven Kwan leads the Guardians with a team-high batting average of .292.
• Andres Gimenez is hitting .252 with 22 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 26 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Spencer Torkelson hits RBI double to seal Tigers' 3-0 victory over Guardians, taking 2-1 series lead

Spencer Torkelson hit an RBI double to help the Detroit Tigers seal a 3-0 victory over the Cleveland Guardians, and took a 2-1 series lead.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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