Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

The Cleveland Guardians and Josh Naylor square off against Matt Vierling and the Detroit Tigers on Thursday, in the final game of a four-game series at Comerica Park. The Guardians have been listed as +105 moneyline underdogs for this matchup with the favored Tigers (-125). Detroit is favored on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run over/under has been listed in this matchup.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday, July 10.
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Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Thursday, July 11, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET
  • Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers -125 +105 8 -106 -113 -1.5 +163 -198

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Tigers 51%, Guardians 49%

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • This season, the Tigers have won 21 out of the 42 games, or 50%, in which they've been favored.
  • Detroit has a record of 15-11 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -125 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.6% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
  • The Guardians have been victorious in 15, or 55.6%, of the 27 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Cleveland has been victorious nine times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or longer on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
FINAL
CLE 1 · DET 10
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Detroit Tigers
DET

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

  • In the last 10 games, the Tigers were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers only one time, a game they won.
  • In their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Tigers combined with their opponents to go over the run total six times.
  • The Tigers' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 20
ERA 4.44
K/9 8.8

Tigers Player Insights

  • Not only does Riley Greene lead the Tigers in hitting with his .260 average, he also is their premier power option with 17 home runs and 45 RBI.
  • Greene's home runs place him 20th in the majors, and he is 51st in RBI.
  • Greene carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .167 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
  • Vierling has 11 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 15 walks while hitting .246.
  • Vierling ranks 67th in homers and 95th in RBI among all batters in MLB.
  • Vierling enters this game looking for his fourth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with a double, a home run, two walks and three RBI.
  • Mark Canha is batting .223 with 14 doubles, six home runs and 36 walks.
  • Colt Keith is hitting .250 with nine doubles, two triples, eight home runs and 18 walks.
  • Keith has recorded at least one hit in eight straight games. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .359 with two triples, four home runs, four walks and nine RBI.

Tigers Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Colt Keith 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+200)
Carson Kelly 0.5 (-235) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Riley Greene 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+140) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+155)
Wenceel Perez 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+220)
Gio Urshela 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+950) 0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and lost that contest.
  • When it comes to hitting the over, the Guardians and their opponents are 7-3-0 in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Guardians are 1-9-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.4
HR 11
ERA 5.01
K/9 9.5

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has managed a team-leading 23 home runs and has driven in 77 runs.
  • Ramirez ranks fifth in homers and second in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Naylor is batting .248 with 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 34 walks.
  • Naylor is currently seventh in homers and fourth in RBI in the major leagues.
  • Steven Kwan has accumulated a team-high batting average of .361.
  • Andres Gimenez is batting .249 with 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 15 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+175) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+225)
Will Brennan 0.5 (-215) 1.5 () 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+200)
David Fry 0.5 (-225) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+175)
José Ramírez 0.5 (-240) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-230) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+155)

Guardians vs. Tigers Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday, July 10.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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Detroit Tigers
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