Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 22

Updated Jul. 22, 2024 6:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Riley Greene and the Detroit Tigers will meet Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians on Monday at Progressive Field, at 6:40 PM ET. The Tigers are -134 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Guardians (+114). Detroit is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +135 odds). A 7-run over/under has been set for the game.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 22, 2024 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
How to Watch on TV: BSGL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers	-134	+114	7	-107	-113	-1.5	+135	-161

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Tigers 4
Total Prediction: Over 7 runs
Win Probabilities: Tigers 55%, Guardians 45%

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Tigers have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 22 (50%) of those contests.
Detroit is 14-9 this season when entering a game favored by -134 or more on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 57.3% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
The Guardians have been underdogs in 30 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (50%) in those contests.
This year, Cleveland has won eight of 15 games when listed as at least +114 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Guardians have a 46.7% chance of walking away with the win.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers were named the moneyline favorite by bookmakers just two times in the last 10 games, and split those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Tigers and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
The Tigers' ATS record is 9-1-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	14
ERA	3.96
K/9	7.6

Tigers Player Insights

Greene paces the Tigers in home runs (17), runs batted in (51) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .271.
Including all MLB batters, Greene is 42nd in batting average, 21st in on-base percentage, and 20th in slugging.
Greene has collected a hit in eight straight games. During his last 10 outings he is batting .342 with four doubles, four walks and six RBI.
Matt Vierling is batting .251 with 15 doubles, five triples, 12 home runs and 16 walks.
Vierling ranks 82nd in home runs and 94th in RBI in the bigs.
Vierling carries a four-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .273 with three doubles, a walk and two RBI.
Colt Keith has 10 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 23 walks while hitting .251.
Mark Canha has 15 doubles, seven home runs and 40 walks while batting .229.
Canha brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .308 with a double, a home run, five walks and three RBI.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Zach McKinstry	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+180)
Riley Greene	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)
Javier Báez	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+185)
Carson Kelly	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+185)
Mark Canha	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+185)

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

The Guardians have played as underdogs three times over their past 10 games and lost each of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Guardians are 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.6
HR	6
ERA	3.35
K/9	8.2

Guardians Player Insights

Jose Ramirez paces the Guardians with 23 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 79.
Ramirez's home run total places him seventh in the big leagues, and he ranks second in RBI.
Naylor has 16 doubles, 22 home runs and 36 walks while batting .239.
Naylor is ninth overall in home runs and fourth in RBI this season.
Steven Kwan paces the Guardians with a team-best batting average of .346.
Andres Gimenez has 13 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks while hitting .246.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
José Ramírez	0.5 (-280)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+155)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+300)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-230)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+175)
Brayan Rocchio	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (-125)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+300)
David Fry	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+220)