Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 1

Updated Oct. 1, 2023 3:01 p.m. ET

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Parker Meadows and the Detroit Tigers will square off against Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians at Comerica Park in the final of a three-game series, on Sunday at 3:10 PM ET. The Guardians are +102 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Tigers (-121). Detroit is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the matchup.

The starting pitchers are Eduardo Rodriguez (12-9) for the Detroit Tigers, and Lucas Giolito (8-14) for the Cleveland Guardians.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Tigers vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Tigers vs. Guardians Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Guardians 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Tigers 53%, Guardians 47%

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Insights

• The Tigers have won 25, or 62.5%, of the 40 games they've played as favorites this season.
• Detroit has entered 30 games this season favored by -121 or more and is 18-12 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 54.8% chance to win.
• The Guardians have been underdogs in 80 games this season and have come away with the win 36 times (45%) in those contests.
• This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 28 times in 63 chances when named as an underdog of at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 49.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers have a 4-2 record from the six games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings, the Tigers and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Tigers' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• Spencer Torkelson paces the Tigers in home runs (31) and runs batted in (95).
• Including all MLB hitters, Torkelson ranks 120th in batting average, 106th in on-base percentage, and 64th in slugging.
• Kerry Carpenter is batting .277 with 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 31 walks.
• Matt Vierling has accumulated a team-high batting average of .259.
• Vierling will look to build on his three-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with two triples, three walks and three RBI.
• Zach McKinstry is batting .231 with 21 doubles, four triples, nine home runs and 44 walks.
• McKinstry is riding a six-game hitting streak into this one. In his last 10 outings he is hitting .219 with two doubles, a home run, a walk and three RBI.

Tigers Team Props

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

• The Guardians have been underdogs twice in the last 10 games and split those matchups 1-1.
• The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Guardians have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Guardians Player Insights

• Jose Ramirez leads the Guardians with 24 homers while posting a team-best batting average of .280.
• Ramirez's home run total places him 52nd in the majors, and he ranks 52nd in RBI.
• Kwan is batting .270 with 36 doubles, seven triples, five home runs and 70 walks.
• Kwan is currently 311th in homers and 151st in RBI in the major leagues.
• Josh Naylor has driven in a team-high 97 runs batted in.
• Andres Gimenez has 27 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .250.

Guardians Team Props

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MLB - Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers - 10/01/2023

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