Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 20

Updated Jul. 20, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Detroit Tigers will look to Kerry Carpenter for continued offensive production when they take on Salvador Perez and the Kansas City Royals on Thursday. The Tigers have been listed as -136 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Royals (+116). Detroit is a 1.5-run favorite (at +120 odds). The over/under is 9 runs for this contest.

The Detroit Tigers will give the start to Michael Lorenzen (4-6, 3.75 ERA), who is looking for win No. 5 on the season, and the Royals will counter with Zack Greinke (1-9, 5.05 ERA).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Tigers vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Thursday, July 20, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri
How to Watch on TV: BSKC

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers	-136	+116	9	-114	-106	-1.5	+120	-143

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Royals 6, Tigers 5
Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
Win Probabilities:

Tigers vs. Royals Betting Insights

The Tigers have been favorites in 16 games this season and won nine (56.2%) of those contests.
Detroit has entered 10 games this season favored by -136 or more and is 4-6 in those contests.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Tigers have a 57.6% chance to win.
The Royals have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 25 times (30.1%) in those games.
Kansas City has a mark of 22-51 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by +116 or worse on the moneyline.
The Royals have an implied victory probability of 46.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers have a 3-1 record across the four games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Tigers and their opponents combined to go over the run total three times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Tigers have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.3
HR	10
ERA	3.44
K/9	8.3

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Tigers Player Insights

The Tigers' best power option comes in the form of Spencer Torkelson and his 14-homer 51-RBI season, both team highs.
Among all hitters in MLB, Torkelson's home run total places him 59th, and his RBI tally puts him 46th.
Torkelson carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .300 with a double, two home runs, a walk and six RBI.
Javier Baez has 12 doubles, three triples, seven home runs and 15 walks while batting .227.
Baez ranks 180th in homers and 69th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Baez carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, a home run, two walks and two RBI.
Matt Vierling is batting .271 with nine doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 23 walks.
Zach McKinstry is batting .243 to lead his team.

Tigers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Zach McKinstry	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Eric Haase	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+185)
Matt Vierling	1.5 (+155)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+155)
Javier Báez	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+150)
Andy Ibáñez	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 3-7.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over three times.
The Royals are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.7
HR	6
ERA	4.86
K/9	7.2

Royals Player Insights

Bobby Witt Jr. has managed a team-high 16 home runs and has driven in 51 runs.
Witt Jr. ranks 39th in home runs and 46th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Perez has a club-leading .255 batting average.
Among all MLB hitters, Perez ranks 44th in homers and 102nd in RBI.
Edward Olivares is hitting .248 with 13 doubles, four triples, six home runs and 13 walks.
Maikel Garcia is hitting .275 with 12 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 20 walks.

Royals Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Bobby Witt Jr.	1.5 (+165)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+165)
Edward Olivares	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+185)
Kyle Isbel	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+185)
Salvador Pérez	1.5 (+175)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+125)
Maikel Garcia	1.5 (+140)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+215)

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