Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2023 6:06 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals hit the field on Tuesday at Comerica Park against Reese Olson, who gets the start for the Detroit Tigers. First pitch is set for 6:40 PM ET for the first game of a three-game series. The Royals are listed as +138 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favorite Tigers (-162). Detroit is a 1.5-run favorite (at +131 odds). An 8-run total is set in this contest.

The Detroit Tigers will give the start to Olson (5-7, 4.13 ERA), who is looking for win No. 6 on the season, and the Royals will counter with Zack Greinke (1-15, 5.10 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Tigers vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 26, 2023 at 6:40 PM ET
Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Tigers	-162	+138	8	-109	-111	-1.5	+131	-155

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction

Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Royals 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Tigers 54%, Royals 46%

Tigers vs. Royals Betting Insights

This season, the Tigers have won 23 out of the 38 games, or 60.5%, in which they've been favored.
Detroit has entered seven games this season favored by -162 or more and is 3-4 in those contests.
The implied probability of a win from the Tigers, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
The Royals have been victorious in 46, or 34.6%, of the 133 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Kansas City has been victorious 27 times in 86 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 42% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

The Tigers went 5-2 over the seven games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups, the Tigers and their opponents combined to go over the run total five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Tigers' record against the spread is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.2
HR	9
ERA	3.72
K/9	10

Tigers Player Insights

Spencer Torkelson has racked up a team-best 29 home runs and 89 runs batted in.
Torkelson's home runs put him 26th in MLB, and he ranks 37th in RBI.
Torkelson carries a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a double and four RBI.
Kerry Carpenter has 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 29 walks while batting .288.
Matt Vierling paces the Tigers with a .262 batting average.
Vierling will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .200 with two doubles, three walks and an RBI.
Zach McKinstry is hitting .230 with 21 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 43 walks.
McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two doubles.

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Royals have a record of 9-1.
The Royals and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Royals have nine wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Royals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	9-1
Runs Per Game	5.7
HR	12
ERA	4.00
K/9	8.1

Royals Player Insights

Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 29 home runs and 93 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .275.
In all of the big leagues, Witt Jr. ranks 26th in home runs and 29th in RBI.
Salvador Perez has 20 doubles, 22 home runs and 18 walks while hitting .252.
Perez is 67th in home runs and 68th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Maikel Garcia has racked up a team-high batting average of .275.
MJ Melendez has 28 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 59 walks while batting .233.