Tigers vs. Royals Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 28

Updated Sep. 28, 2023 1:08 p.m. ET

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Tarik Skubal is starting for the Detroit Tigers on Thursday against Bobby Witt Jr. and the Kansas City Royals. First pitch is at 1:10 PM ET at Comerica Park. The favored Tigers have -110 moneyline odds to win against the underdog Royals, who are listed at -109. Kansas City is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The over/under is 7.5 runs for the matchup (with -102 odds to hit the over and -117 odds on the under).

The starting pitchers are Skubal (7-3) for the Detroit Tigers, and Jonathan Bowlan for the Kansas City Royals.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Tigers-Royals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Tigers vs. Royals Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 28, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
• Where: Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan
• How to Watch on TV: BSDET

Tigers vs. Royals Prediction

• Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Royals 4
• Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Tigers 55%, Royals 45%

Tigers vs. Royals Betting Insights

• This season, the Tigers have been favored 39 times and won 24, or 61.5%, of those games.
• Detroit has entered 39 games this season favored by -110 or more and is 24-15 in those contests.
• The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 52.4% chance of a victory for the Tigers.
• The Royals have been underdogs in 134 games this season and have come away with the win 46 times (34.3%) in those contests.
• This season, Kansas City has come away with a win 46 times in 134 chances when named as an underdog of at least -109 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Royals have an implied victory probability of 52.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Tigers Recent Betting Performance

• The Tigers were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-2 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Tigers combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
• The Tigers have gone 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Tigers Recent Stats

Tigers Player Insights

• The Tigers' best power option comes in the form of Spencer Torkelson and his 29-dinger 91-RBI season, both team highs.
• In all of the majors, Torkelson ranks 27th in home runs and 37th in RBI.
• Torkelson has collected a hit in three straight games. In his last five games he is hitting .238 with two doubles, a walk and five RBI.
• Kerry Carpenter is hitting .288 with 17 doubles, two triples, 20 home runs and 29 walks.
• Carpenter enters this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is batting .286 with three doubles and a walk.
• Matt Vierling leads the Tigers with a team-high batting average of .259.
• Zach McKinstry has 21 doubles, four triples, eight home runs and 43 walks while hitting .230.
• McKinstry is riding a four-game hitting streak into this one. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two doubles and an RBI.

Tigers Team Props

Learn more about this Tigers vs. Royals matchup on Fox Sports.

Royals Recent Betting Performance

• The Royals have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won eight of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Royals and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
• The Royals have a record of 8-2-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Royals Recent Stats

Royals Player Insights

• Witt Jr. paces the Royals with 29 home runs and 93 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .277.
• Witt Jr. ranks 27th in homers and 32nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
• Salvador Perez is batting .254 with 20 doubles, 22 home runs and 18 walks.
• Perez is currently 68th in homers and 68th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Maikel Garcia is batting .275 with 20 doubles, four triples, four home runs and 37 walks.
• MJ Melendez is batting .231 with 28 doubles, five triples, 15 home runs and 59 walks.

Royals Team Props

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