Twins vs. Angels Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 23

Updated Sep. 23, 2023 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins and Max Kepler will take the field against the Los Angeles Angels and Randal Grichuk on Saturday at 2:10 PM ET, in the second of a three-game series at Target Field. The Twins are favored in this one, at -202, while the underdog Angels have +168 odds to upset. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5 with +104 odds). The total for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

The Minnesota Twins will give the start to Sonny Gray (8-7, 2.79 ERA), who is looking for win No. 9 on the season, and the Angels will turn to Kenny Rosenberg (1-2, 5.48 ERA).

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Angels game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Twins vs. Angels Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, September 23, 2023 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-202	+168	7.5	-115	-105	-1.5	+104	-125

Twins vs. Angels Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Angels 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 58%, Angels 42%

Twins vs. Angels Betting Insights

The Twins have won 62, or 59.6%, of the 104 games they've played as favorites this season.
Minnesota has a record of 10-6, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -202 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The Twins have a 66.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Angels have been chosen as underdogs in 83 games this year and have walked away with the win 34 times (41%) in those games.
Los Angeles has a win-loss record of 3-6 when favored by +168 or worse by bookmakers this year.
The Angels have an implied victory probability of 37.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins went 6-2 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
The Twins' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6
HR	16
ERA	3.48
K/9	10.2

Twins Player Insights

Kepler has homered 22 times this season, the highest mark on the Twins, while hitting .251 with 60 RBI.
Willi Castro has 18 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 28 walks while hitting .252.
Castro carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this contest. In his last five games he is batting .238 with a triple, two home runs, a walk and three RBI.
Edouard Julien is hitting .262 with 15 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 57 walks.
Jorge Polanco has 18 doubles, 13 home runs and 35 walks while batting .261.
Polanco has recorded at least one hit in three games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .238 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Angels matchup on Fox Sports.

Angels Recent Betting Performance

The Angels have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and have gone 2-8 in those contests.
The Angels and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
The Angels have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Angels Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	2-8
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	17
ERA	5.00
K/9	10.3

Angels Player Insights

Brandon Drury is batting .259 with 26 doubles, three triples, 23 home runs and 25 walks.
In all of MLB, Drury ranks 58th in home runs and 61st in RBI.
Grichuk is hitting .272 with 27 doubles, two triples, 15 home runs and 28 walks.
Grichuk is 139th overall in homers and 197th in RBI this season.
C.J. Cron is batting .248 with 12 doubles, 12 home runs and 17 walks.
Zach Neto has 15 doubles, nine home runs and 17 walks while batting .223.