Twins vs. Astros ALDS Game 4 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 11

Updated Oct. 11, 2023 7:01 p.m. ET

share

facebookxredditlink

The Minnesota Twins will host the Houston Astros in the fourth game of the ALDS on Wednesday at 7:07 PM ET, live on FS1 from Target Field. The Twins hope to force a Game 5 as they enter the matchup trailing in the series 2-1. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -124 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Astros +105 moneyline odds to win. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +164 odds). The over/under is 8.5 runs for this game.

The probable pitchers are Joe Ryan (11-10, 4.51 ERA) for the Twins against Jose Urquidy (3-3, 5.29 ERA) for the Astros.

Check out everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Astros game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Twins vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 11, 2023 at 7:07 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: FS1

Twins vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Astros 48%

Twins vs. Astros Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 69 out of the 115 games, or 60%, in which they've been favored.
• Minnesota has entered 98 games this season favored by -124 or more and is 58-40 in those contests.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55.4% chance to win.
• The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 29 times (65.9%) in those games.
• This season, Houston has been victorious 17 times in 28 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Astros have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins were favored on the moneyline in eight of their last 10 games, and they finished 5-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 outings (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the run total six times.
• The Twins have a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• The Twins' best power option comes in the form of Max Kepler and his 24-homer 66-RBI season, both team highs.
• Kepler has collected a hit in nine games in a row. In his last 10 outings he is batting .353 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and four RBI.
• Carlos Correa's .230 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Including all MLB batters, Correa is 112th in homers and 109th in RBI.
• Correa has five games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .474 with three doubles, a walk and four RBI.
• Willi Castro is hitting .257 with 18 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 34 walks.
• Castro has at least one base hit in two straight games. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two walks and an RBI.
• Edouard Julien is batting .263 with 16 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 64 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• In four games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Astros have a record of 3-1.
• The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Astros have six wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Kyle Tucker has put up a team-high batting average of .284 while leading the Astros in runs batted in with a mark of 112.
• In all of MLB, Tucker ranks 30th in homers and third in RBI.
• Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while hitting .262.
• Bregman ranks 46th overall in home runs and 19th in RBI this year.
• Yordan Alvarez has 31 home runs, best in the lineup.
• Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .311.

Astros Team Props

share

in this topic

Major League Baseball

Minnesota Twins

Houston Astros

MLB - Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins - 10/11/2023

Gambling