Twins vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 5

Updated Jul. 5, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Yordan Alvarez and the Houston Astros square off against Byron Buxton and the Minnesota Twins on Friday at 8:10 PM ET at Target Field. The Twins are -118 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Astros (-102). Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +173 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for the contest (with +100 odds on the over and -120 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Blue Jays Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Toronto Blue Jays on Wednesday, July 3.

Twins vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 5, 2024 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: SCHN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-118	-102	8	+100	-120	-1.5	+173	-210

Twins vs. Astros Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Astros 47%

Twins vs. Astros Betting Insights

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 59 times this season and won 38, or 64.4%, of those games.
This season Minnesota has won 33 of its 54 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -118 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 54.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Astros have been underdogs in 22 games this season and have come away with the win 11 times (50%) in those contests.
Houston has a mark of 7-7 in contests where sportsbooks favor it by -102 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Astros have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins were the moneyline favorite for nine of their last 10 games, and they went 7-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total seven times.
The Twins have an 8-2-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.9
HR	12
ERA	3.20
K/9	10.7

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa's .311 average leads the Twins this year. His resume also includes 10 homers and driven in 41 RBI.
Including all MLB hitters, Correa is eighth in batting average, 13th in on-base percentage, and 15th in slugging.
Correa has collected a hit in seven straight games. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .361 with three doubles, two home runs, five walks and six RBI.
Carlos Santana is batting .246 with 15 doubles, 12 home runs and 29 walks.
Santana ranks 52nd in homers and 75th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Jose Miranda has 19 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 14 walks while hitting .312.
Miranda has at least one base hit in eight games in a row. During his last 10 outings he is hitting .474 with seven doubles, five walks and 13 RBI.
Willi Castro is hitting .270 with 21 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 28 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Santana	0.5 (-180)	0.5 (-180)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+180)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (-150)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+245)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-165)	0.5 (-165)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+165)
Pablo Lopez	-	-	-	-

Learn more about this Twins vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

The Astros have played as underdogs in four of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
The Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over six times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Astros are 8-2-0 against the spread.

Astros Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	6.4
HR	9
ERA	2.70
K/9	8.9

Astros Player Insights

Alvarez leads the Astros in home runs (19) and runs batted in (49).
Alvarez ranks 11th in homers and 32nd in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Jose Altuve is batting .308 to lead the lineup.
Altuve is 43rd among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 75th in RBI.
Alex Bregman is batting .248 with 17 doubles, two triples, nine home runs and 28 walks.
Jeremy Pena is batting .280 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.