Twins vs. Astros Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 7

Updated Jul. 7, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

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Jeremy Pena and the Houston Astros hit the field on Sunday at Target Field against Simeon Woods Richardson, who will start for the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is set for 2:10 PM ET. The Twins are favored in this one, at -150, while the underdog Astros have +126 odds to play spoiler. Minnesota (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. The over/under for the matchup is listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Astros game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Astros vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Minnesota Twins on Saturday, July 6.

Twins vs. Astros Game Information & Odds

• When: Sunday, July 7, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSN

Twins vs. Astros Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
• Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 54%, Astros 46%

Twins vs. Astros Betting Insights

• The Twins have entered the game as favorites 61 times this season and won 39, or 63.9%, of those games.
• Minnesota has entered 34 games this season favored by -150 or more and is 22-12 in those contests.
• The Twins have a 60% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 24 games this year and have walked away with the win 12 times (50%) in those games.
• This year, Houston has won two of four games when listed as at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Astros have an implied victory probability of 44.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

FINAL

HOU 2 · MIN 3

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Houston Astros

HOU

+1.5

+127

O 8.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-150

U 8.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins went 7-2 across the nine games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times (all 10 games had set totals).
• The Twins' ATS record is 8-2-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• The Twins best hitter thus far this season is Carlos Correa, who's hitting at a team-leading .305 rate along with 11 homers and 45 RBI.
• Correa's home runs place him 74th in the majors, and he ranks 45th in RBI.
• Correa has collected a hit in nine games in a row. During his last 10 games he is hitting .316 with two doubles, three home runs, five walks and nine RBI.
• Jose Miranda is hitting .328 with 20 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 14 walks.
• Miranda carries a 10-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. During his last 10 games he is hitting .568 with six doubles, a home run, three walks and 13 RBI.
• Carlos Santana has 16 doubles, 12 home runs and 30 walks while hitting .247.
• Santana will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is batting .133 with a double, three walks and an RBI.
• Willi Castro is batting .272 with 22 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 30 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Astros matchup on Fox Sports.

Astros Recent Betting Performance

• The Astros have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and have gone 3-3 in those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Astros and their opponents have combined to hit the over seven times.
• The Astros have seven wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Astros Recent Stats

Astros Player Insights

• Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 19 long balls and runs batted in, driving in 50.
• Alvarez's home run total places him 11th in the majors, and he is 33rd in RBI.
• Jose Altuve's .310 batting average paces his team.
• Among all major league hitters, Altuve ranks 46th in home runs and 71st in RBI.
• Alex Bregman is hitting .251 with 18 doubles, two triples, 10 home runs and 30 walks.
• Pena is batting .281 with 16 doubles, a triple, seven home runs and 17 walks.

Astros Team Props

Astros vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments between the Houston Astros and the Minnesota Twins on Saturday, July 6.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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