Twins vs. Blue Jays AL Wild Card Game 2 Prediction, Odds, Picks - October 4

Updated Oct. 4, 2023 4:11 p.m. ET

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The AL Wild Card Series continues on Wednesday when the Minnesota Twins play host to the Toronto Blue Jays. The Twins will look to clinch a berth in the ALDS when the game begins at 4:38 PM ET on ESPN. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -146 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Blue Jays +124 moneyline odds. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5 with +149 odds). The total is 8 runs for this matchup (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

The Twins will give the ball to Sonny Gray (8-8) versus the Blue Jays and Jose Berrios (11-12).

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Blue Jays game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks.

Twins vs. Blue Jays Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, October 4, 2023 at 4:38 PM ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: ESPN

Twins vs. Blue Jays Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Blue Jays 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 54%, Blue Jays 46%

Twins vs. Blue Jays Betting Insights

• The Twins have won 68, or 60.2%, of the 113 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Minnesota has won 36 of its 66 games, or 54.5%, when favored by at least -146 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 59.3%.
• The Blue Jays have been chosen as underdogs in 43 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (53.5%) in those games.
• Toronto has a mark of 3-4 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +124 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Blue Jays have an implied victory probability of 44.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite in each of their last 10 games, and went 7-3 in those matchups.
• Over their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total six times.
• The Twins are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• The Twins' best power option comes in the form of Max Kepler and his 24-home-run 66-RBI season, both team highs.
• Kepler carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .500 with a double, a home run, two walks and four RBI.
• Carlos Correa is batting .230 to pace his team.
• Of all major league hitters, Correa is 112th in homers and 109th in RBI.
• Willi Castro is hitting .257 with 18 doubles, five triples, nine home runs and 34 walks.
• Edouard Julien is batting .260 with 16 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 64 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Blue Jays matchup on Fox Sports.

Blue Jays Recent Betting Performance

• In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Blue Jays have a record of 2-3.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Blue Jays and their opponents are 6-4-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
• The Blue Jays have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Blue Jays Recent Stats

Blue Jays Player Insights

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr. leads the Blue Jays with 26 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 94.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Guerrero's home run total is 38th and his RBI tally ranks 35th.
• George Springer has 25 doubles, a triple, 21 home runs and 60 walks while batting .256.
• Springer ranks 80th among all hitters in MLB in homers, and 81st in RBI.
• Bo Bichette has accumulated a team-best batting average of .305.
• Whit Merrifield has 27 doubles, 11 home runs and 36 walks while hitting .272.

Blue Jays Team Props

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