Twins vs. Brewers Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 21

Updated Jul. 21, 2024 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Aaron Civale takes the mound for the Milwaukee Brewers on Sunday at Target Field against Brooks Lee and the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is at 1:05 PM ET for the final game of a two-game series. Oddsmakers list the Twins as -161 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Brewers +136 moneyline odds to win. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The game's over/under is set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Brewers game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Rockies vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the highlights as the Minnesota Twins took on the Colorado Rockies in this regular season matchup.

Twins vs. Brewers Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 21, 2024 at 1:05 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: Roku

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-161	+136	7.5	-108	-112	-1.5	+131	-157

Twins vs. Brewers Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Brewers 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Brewers 48%

Twins vs. Brewers Betting Insights

The Twins have won 42, or 62.7%, of the 67 games they've played as favorites this season.
This season Minnesota has won 24 of its 33 games, or 72.7%, when favored by at least -161 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers' moneyline implies a 61.7% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Brewers have won in 22, or 50%, of the 44 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Milwaukee has come away with a win three times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +136 or worse on the moneyline.
The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 42.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 4-4 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to go over the total five times.
The Twins have put together a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	13
ERA	4.21
K/9	9.1

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana leads the Twins with 14 home runs.
Santana ranks 53rd in homers and 79th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
Willi Castro is hitting .264 with 23 doubles, five triples, seven home runs and 32 walks.
Among all MLB hitters, Castro ranks 173rd in homers and 166th in RBI.
Ryan Jeffers paces the Twins with 14 home runs and 47 runs batted in.
Byron Buxton is batting .280 with 19 doubles, three triples, nine home runs and 13 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+155)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-245)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+170)
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-235)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+170)
Willi Castro	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+225)
Brooks Lee	0.5 (-190)	0.5 (-190)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+230)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Brewers matchup on Fox Sports.

Brewers Recent Betting Performance

In five games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by bookmakers, the Brewers had a record of 2-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Brewers and their opponents are 7-3-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Brewers have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Brewers Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	11
ERA	4.35
K/9	8.3

Brewers Player Insights

William Contreras has 23 doubles, a triple, 11 home runs and 37 walks while batting .287.
Contreras' home run total puts him 92nd in MLB, and he ranks 31st in RBI.
Willy Adames has been a reliable source of runs this year, leading the lineup with 15 home runs and 67 runs batted in.
Adames ranks 45th among all batters in the majors in home runs, and eighth in RBI.
Christian Yelich has accumulated a team-high batting average of .320.
Brice Turang is batting .275 with 16 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 33 walks.

Brewers Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Yelich	0.5 ()	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+170)
William Contreras	0.5 ()	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)
Brice Turang	0.5 ()	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+300)
Rhys Hoskins	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (-130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+195)
Jackson Chourio	0.5 (-180)	0.5 (-180)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+225)