The St. Louis Cardinals will look to Lars Nootbaar for continued success at the plate when they square off against Byron Buxton and the Minnesota Twins on Thursday, in the final game of a three-game series at Busch Stadium. Bookmakers list the Twins as -135 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Cardinals +115 moneyline odds to win. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for this matchup.
The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Minnesota Twins looking to Sonny Gray (4-4), and Matthew Liberatore (1-3) getting the nod for the St. Louis Cardinals.
Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Cardinals game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):
Twins vs. Cardinals Game Information & Odds
- When: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 7:45 PM ET
- Where: Busch Stadium in St. Louis, Missouri
- How to Watch on TV: BSMW
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total | Over Total Odds | Under Total Odds | Run Line | Favorite Run Line Odds | Underdog Run Line Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -135 | +115 | 8.5 | -120 | -100 | -1.5 | +122 | -145 |
Twins vs. Cardinals Prediction
- Score Prediction: Cardinals 6, Twins 5
- Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
- Win Probabilities: Twins 52%, Cardinals 48%
Twins vs. Cardinals Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 72 times and won 42, or 58.3%, of those games.
- Minnesota is 28-21 this season when entering a game favored by -135 or more on the moneyline.
- The Twins have a 57.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- The Cardinals have come away with 22 wins in the 49 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, St. Louis has been victorious nine times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Twins Recent Betting Performance
- The Twins were favored on the moneyline for each of their last 10 games, and they went 4-6 in those matchups.
- Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times.
- The Twins' ATS record is 1-9-0 over their past 10 games.
Twins Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.14 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Twins Player Insights
- Carlos Correa comes into Thursday's game as the Twins top run producer, accumulating 45 RBI while launching 12 round-trippers in 2023. His .225 average is also best on the squad.
- Correa's home runs put him 112th in MLB, and he is 101st in RBI.
- Buxton has hit 17 home runs to pace his team.
- Buxton is 46th in home runs and 116th in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
- Buxton enters this matchup looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is batting .412 with five doubles, a walk and two RBI.
- Max Kepler has 11 doubles, 15 home runs and 23 walks while hitting .230.
- Willi Castro is batting .245 with 11 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 22 walks.
Twins Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Correa | 1.5 (+160) | 1.5 (-110) | 0.5 (+425) | 0.5 (+170) |
| Kyle Farmer | 0.5 (-250) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+650) | 0.5 (+195) |
| Jorge Polanco | 0.5 (-278) | 1.5 (+105) | 0.5 (+450) | 0.5 (+125) |
| Christian Vázquez | 0.5 (-222) | 1.5 (+155) | 0.5 (+800) | 0.5 (+185) |
| Willi Castro | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+145) | 0.5 (+850) | 0.5 (+200) |
Learn more about this Twins vs. Cardinals matchup on Fox Sports.
Cardinals Recent Betting Performance
- In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Cardinals have a record of 3-2.
- The Cardinals and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times in their last 10 games with a total.
- The Cardinals are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.
Cardinals Recent Stats
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
Cardinals Player Insights
- Nolan Arenado has posted a team-high 22 home runs and has driven in 78 runs.
- Arenado's home run total puts him 17th in the majors, and he is fifth in RBI.
- Paul Goldschmidt is batting .277 with 21 doubles, 18 home runs and 56 walks.
- Among all MLB hitters, Goldschmidt ranks 36th in home runs and 57th in RBI.
- Nolan Gorman has 22 home runs, tops in the clubhouse.
- Nootbaar is hitting .279 with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 48 walks.
Cardinals Team Props
| Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado | 0.5 (-227) | 1.5 (+120) | 0.5 (+475) | 0.5 (+150) |
| Tommy Edman | 0.5 (-233) | 1.5 (+150) | 0.5 (+950) | 0.5 (+220) |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 0.5 (-244) | 1.5 (+135) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+190) |
| Lars Nootbaar | 0.5 (-200) | 1.5 (+140) | 0.5 (+700) | 0.5 (+240) |
| Willson Contreras | 0.5 (-200) | 0.5 (-200) | 0.5 (+600) | 0.5 (+195) |
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