Twins vs. Cubs Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2024 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Chicago Cubs and Isaac Paredes hit the field at Wrigley Field against Matt Wallner and the Minnesota Twins on Monday. Bookmakers list the Twins as -118 favorites on the moneyline, while giving the underdog Cubs -102 moneyline odds. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +142 odds). The over/under for the contest has been set at 7.5 runs.

Here is everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Cubs game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

White Sox vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins game on August 4th, 2024.

Twins vs. Cubs Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, August 5, 2024 at 8:05 PM ET
Where: Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois
How to Watch on TV: MARQ

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-118	-102	7.5	-114	-106	-1.5	+142	-170

Twins vs. Cubs Prediction

Score Prediction: Cubs 6, Twins 5
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Cubs 49%

Twins vs. Cubs Betting Insights

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 75 times this season and won 48, or 64%, of those games.
Minnesota has a record of 43-27 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -118 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 54.1%.
The Cubs have come away with 30 wins in the 62 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This year, Chicago has won 25 of 52 games when listed as at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 50.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins were favored on the moneyline in seven of their last 10 games, and they went 6-1 in those matchups.
In their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to go over the run total seven times.
The Twins have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	6.0
HR	15
ERA	4.55
K/9	10.8

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana is batting .243 with 21 doubles, 14 home runs and 40 walks.
In all of Major League Baseball, Santana is 78th in home runs and 81st in RBI.
Willi Castro's .265 batting average is a team-high mark.
Castro ranks 174th in homers in the majors, and 124th in RBI.
Castro has three games in a row with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, a home run, a walk and seven RBI.
Jose Miranda has 23 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks while hitting .324.
Ryan Jeffers has hit 16 home runs with 52 runs batted in. Both are team-highs.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Royce Lewis	1.5 ()	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+135)
Willi Castro	1.5 ()	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+150)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+155)
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-220)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+180)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Cubs matchup on Fox Sports.

Cubs Recent Betting Performance

The Cubs have played as underdogs in five of their past 10 games and won four of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Cubs and their opponents have failed to hit the over four times.
The Cubs have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Cubs Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.4
HR	13
ERA	4.45
K/9	7.2

Cubs Player Insights

Paredes is hitting .238 with 21 doubles, a triple, 16 home runs and 53 walks.
In all of MLB, Paredes is 55th in home runs and 50th in RBI.
Nico Hoerner has 22 doubles, a triple, four home runs and 33 walks while batting .256.
Hoerner is 273rd overall in homers and 176th in RBI this year.
Ian Happ has been solid source of run production for the Cubs with 17 long balls and 62 runs batted in.
Seiya Suzuki paces the Cubs with a .274 batting average.

Cubs Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Nico Hoerner	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+150)	0.5 (+1200)	0.5 (+205)
Cody Bellinger	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+175)
Seiya Suzuki	0.5 (-210)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+195)
Christian Bethancourt	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (-140)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+235)
Pete Crow-Armstrong	0.5 (-165)	0.5 (-165)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+205)