Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 4

Updated Aug. 4, 2023 8:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

A couple of hot hitters, Carlos Correa and Corbin Carroll, will try to keep it going when the Minnesota Twins play the Arizona Diamondbacks on Friday at 8:10 PM ET, at Target Field. The favored Twins have -159 moneyline odds against the underdog Diamondbacks, who are listed at +135. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The matchup's total has been listed at 8.5 runs.

The scheduled starters are Bailey Ober (6-5) for the Minnesota Twins, and Merrill Kelly (9-5) for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 4, 2023 at 8:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-159	+135	8.5	-111	-109	-1.5	+126	-151

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Under 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 54%, Diamondbacks 46%

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Twins have been favorites in 73 games this season and won 43 (58.9%) of those contests.
Minnesota is 15-13 this season when entering a game favored by -159 or more on the moneyline.
The Twins have a 61.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Diamondbacks have won in 28, or 47.5%, of the 59 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
This season, Arizona has come away with a win eight times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +135 or longer on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 42.6% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 4-6 record across the 10 games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Twins are 2-8-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	11
ERA	5.24
K/9	9.5

Place your bets on Twins vs. Diamondbacks now with FOX Bet!

Twins Player Insights

Correa paces the Twins in runs batted in (45) and has a team-high batting average of .223.
In all of MLB, Correa is 113th in homers and 102nd in RBI.
Byron Buxton's 17 home runs pace his team.
Buxton is 47th in homers and 117th in RBI among all MLB hitters this season.
Buxton heads into this game looking for his sixth game in a row with a hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .412 with five doubles, a walk and two RBI.
Max Kepler has 11 doubles, 15 home runs and 23 walks while batting .230.
Willi Castro is hitting .246 with 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 23 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Willi Castro	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+190)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+140)
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+155)
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+185)
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (-169)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+150)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

In five games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Diamondbacks have a record of 2-3.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have failed to hit the over eight times.
The Diamondbacks have four wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.1
HR	6
ERA	4.55
K/9	8.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Carroll has 21 doubles, five triples, 21 home runs and 40 walks while batting .279.
In all of the big leagues, Carroll ranks 23rd in homers and 42nd in RBI.
Ketel Marte is hitting .290 to lead the lineup.
Marte is 37th overall in home runs and 54th in RBI this season.
Christian Walker leads the Diamondbacks in home runs (22) and runs batted in (68).
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 24 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .252.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Tommy Pham	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+140)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+180)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+145)
Christian Walker	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+125)
Geraldo Perdomo	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+950)	0.5 (+250)
Emmanuel Rivera	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+190)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Twins vs Diamondbacks!

Download the FOX Super 6 app for your chance to win thousands of dollars on the biggest sporting events each and every week! Just make your picks and you could win the grand prize. Download and play today!