Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 5

Updated Aug. 5, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Kenta Maeda will start for the Minnesota Twins on Saturday against Ketel Marte and the Arizona Diamondbacks. First pitch is at 7:10 PM ET for this second game in a three-game series. The Twins are favored in this one, at -162, while the underdog Diamondbacks have +138 odds to upset. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +125 odds). An 8-run over/under is listed for this game.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Minnesota Twins looking to Maeda (2-6), and Ryne Nelson (6-5) answering the bell for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Diamondbacks game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Game Information & Odds

When: Saturday, August 5, 2023 at 7:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-162	+138	8	-111	-109	-1.5	+125	-149

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Diamondbacks 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 54%, Diamondbacks 46%

Twins vs. Diamondbacks Betting Insights

The Twins have been favorites in 74 games this season and won 44 (59.5%) of those contests.
Minnesota has a record of 14-12, a 53.8% win rate, when favored by -162 or more by sportsbooks this season.
The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 61.8%.
The Diamondbacks have been chosen as underdogs in 60 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (46.7%) in those games.
Arizona has a mark of 7-9 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +138 or worse on the moneyline.
The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Diamondbacks have a 42% chance of walking away with the win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins went 4-6 across the 10 games they were moneyline favorites in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
The Twins' record against the spread is 2-8-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	4.5
HR	14
ERA	5.41
K/9	9.2

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Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa is the Twins best hitter, putting together an average of .220 while also being the team's top run producer, accumulating 45 RBI and hitting 12 home runs.
Among all hitters in the majors, Correa is 117th in homers and 106th in RBI.
Max Kepler is batting .230 with 11 doubles, 16 home runs and 23 walks.
Willi Castro has 12 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 23 walks while batting .246.
Castro will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. In his last five games he is hitting .308 with a double and a walk.
Donovan Solano is hitting .272 with 20 doubles, four home runs and 33 walks.
Solano takes a four-game streak with at least one hit into this one. During his last five outings he is batting .455 with two RBI.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Jorge Polanco	0.5 (-278)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+290)	0.5 (+145)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-233)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+185)
Ryan Jeffers	0.5 (-189)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+160)
Willi Castro	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+170)
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Diamondbacks matchup on Fox Sports.

Diamondbacks Recent Betting Performance

The Diamondbacks have played as underdogs in six of their past 10 games and won two of those contests.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Diamondbacks and their opponents have combined to hit the over just once.
The Diamondbacks are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Diamondbacks Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	2.7
HR	6
ERA	3.89
K/9	9.1

Diamondbacks Player Insights

Corbin Carroll is batting .278 with 22 doubles, five triples, 21 home runs and 40 walks.
Among all hitters in MLB, Carroll is 23rd in homers and 46th in RBI.
Marte has a club-best .287 batting average.
Marte is 37th among all hitters in the big leagues in home runs, and 55th in RBI.
Christian Walker paces the Diamondbacks in home runs (22) and runs batted in (68).
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 24 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 21 walks while hitting .253.

Diamondbacks Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Christian Walker	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+370)	0.5 (+130)
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+165)
Corbin Carroll	0.5 (-250)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+150)
Ketel Marte	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+155)
Jake McCarthy	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (-204)	0.5 (+1000)	0.5 (+260)

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