Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 11

Updated Aug. 11, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Josh Naylor and the Cleveland Guardians take the field on Sunday at Target Field against David Festa, who is projected to start for the Minnesota Twins. First pitch is at 2:10 PM ET. The Twins have been listed as -120 moneyline favorites for this matchup against the Guardians (+100). Cleveland is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -112 odds on the over and -108 odds on the under).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Guardians vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins.
ADVERTISEMENT

Twins vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

  • When: Sunday, August 11, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -120 +100 8 -112 -108 -1.5 -200 +165

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Guardians 47%

Twins vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Twins have been favorites in 80 games this season and won 50 (62.5%) of those contests.
  • Minnesota has a record of 43-26 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -120 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 54.5% chance to win.
  • The Guardians have been victorious in 19, or 46.3%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This year, Cleveland has won 13 of 31 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 50% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
FINAL
CLE 5 · MIN 3
MLB
RUN LINE
TO WIN
TOTAL
Cleveland Guardians
CLE
Minnesota Twins
MIN

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins went 6-3 across the nine games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over six times.
  • The Twins have gone 8-2-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 14
ERA 3.68
K/9 10.1

Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Santana has 22 doubles, 15 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .245.
  • Santana's home runs put him 79th in MLB, and he is 90th in RBI.
  • Willi Castro's .260 batting average leads his team.
  • Castro ranks 181st in homers and 132nd in RBI among all MLB batters this season.
  • Castro has three games in a row with at least one hit. In his last five games he is hitting .211 with a double.
  • Jose Miranda is hitting .313 with 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks.
  • Ryan Jeffers has hit 17 home runs with 53 RBI. Both lead his team.
  • Jeffers brings a two-game streak with at least one hit into this one. In his last five games he is batting .133 with a home run and two RBI.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+310) 0.5 (+145)
Jose Miranda 0.5 (-210) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+195)
Willi Castro 0.5 (-205) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+240)
Max Kepler 0.5 (-170) 0.5 () 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+215)
Austin Martin 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (-125) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+285)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • In seven games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 2-5.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have failed to hit the over three times.
  • The Guardians have a record of 3-7-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.6
HR 13
ERA 5.16
K/9 7.9

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has managed a team-high 30 home runs and has driven in 96 runs.
  • Ramirez's home run total puts him fifth in the majors, and he ranks second in RBI.
  • Naylor is batting .246 with 18 doubles, 26 home runs and 43 walks.
  • Naylor is 11th in home runs and fifth in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
  • Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .326 batting average.
  • Andres Gimenez is batting .257 with 17 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 18 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Ramírez 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+125)
Will Brennan 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+850) 0.5 (+170)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-265) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+1000) 0.5 (+195)
Lane Thomas 0.5 (-215) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+190)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+190)

Guardians vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Cleveland Guardians and the Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

Want great stories delivered right to your inbox? Create or log in to your FOX Sports account, follow leagues, teams and players to receive a personalized newsletter daily.

FOLLOW Follow your favorites to personalize your FOX Sports experience
Minnesota Twins
Cleveland Guardians
share