Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 28

Updated Aug. 28, 2023 7:05 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Xzavion Curry starts for the Cleveland Guardians against Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins on Monday at 7:40 PM ET. Bookmakers list the Twins as -176 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Guardians +149 moneyline odds to win. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +117 odds). The total for the matchup has been set at 8.5 runs.

The scheduled starters are Kenta Maeda (3-7) for the Minnesota Twins, and Curry (3-2) for the Cleveland Guardians.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Monday, August 28, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -176 +149 8.5 -124 +104 -1.5 +117 -139

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 55%, Guardians 45%

Twins vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 52, or 59.1%, of the 88 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has a record of 13-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -176 on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 63.8% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • The Guardians have won in 27, or 42.2%, of the 64 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • Cleveland has a win-loss record of 3-7 when favored by +149 or worse by bookmakers this year.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 40.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins were the moneyline favorite for seven of their last 10 games, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
  • In their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total eight times.
  • The Twins' ATS record is 6-4-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.6
HR 17
ERA 4.44
K/9 8.5

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Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Correa is the Twins best hitter, putting together an average of .225 while also being the team's top run producer, collecting 57 RBI and hitting 16 home runs.
  • In all of MLB, Correa ranks 94th in homers and 90th in RBI.
  • Max Kepler has put his power on display as he leads his team with 21 home runs.
  • Kepler carries a three-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .471 with three doubles, a home run, four walks and two RBI.
  • Donovan Solano is batting .282 with 24 doubles, four home runs and 37 walks.
  • Michael A. Taylor is batting .222 with 13 doubles, 19 home runs and 21 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Ryan Jeffers 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+370) 0.5 (+155)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-208) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+135)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+175)
Matt Wallner 0.5 (-179) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+165)
Royce Lewis 1.5 (+195) 1.5 (-110) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+140)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in seven of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Guardians are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4
HR 12
ERA 4.45
K/9 8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has posted a team- leading batting average of .277, while leading the Guardians in long balls with 21.
  • In all of the big leagues, Ramirez is 41st in home runs and 38th in RBI.
  • Ramirez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .263 with a double, three home runs, four walks and four RBI.
  • Steven Kwan is batting .267 with 28 doubles, six triples, five home runs and 52 walks.
  • Kwan is currently 282nd in homers and 161st in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Andres Gimenez has 22 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 28 walks while hitting .236.
  • Will Brennan is batting .257 with 20 doubles, five home runs and 11 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Ramírez 1.5 (+180) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+475) 0.5 (+150)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+185)
Kole Calhoun 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+155)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+150) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1100) 0.5 (+200)
Oscar Gonzalez 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+135)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Twins vs Guardians!

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