Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - August 9

Updated Aug. 9, 2024 2:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Carlos Santana and Jose Ramirez are the hottest hitters on the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Guardians, who play on Friday at Target Field, at 2:10 PM ET. The Twins are -167 moneyline favorites in this matchup with the Guardians (+141). Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +127 odds). The total for the contest has been set at 8.5 runs.

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Guardians game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, August 9, 2024 at 2:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-167	+141	8.5	-105	-115	-1.5	+127	-152

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Guardians 4
Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Guardians 47%

Twins vs. Guardians Betting Insights

The Twins have been favorites in 78 games this season and won 49 (62.8%) of those contests.
This season Minnesota has won 25 of its 32 games, or 78.1%, when favored by at least -167 on the moneyline.
Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 62.5% chance to win.
The Guardians have been underdogs in 39 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (46.2%) in those contests.
This year, Cleveland has won five of eight games when listed as at least +141 or worse on the moneyline.
The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins played as the moneyline favorite in eight of their last 10 games, and they went 6-2 in those matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Twins are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	5.2
HR	12
ERA	4.81
K/9	10.2

Twins Player Insights

Santana has 22 doubles, 14 home runs and 41 walks while hitting .244.
In all of MLB, Santana is 81st in home runs and 89th in RBI.
Willi Castro's .257 batting average leads his team.
Castro is 180th in home runs and 128th in RBI in the bigs.
Jose Miranda has 24 doubles, a triple, nine home runs and 15 walks while hitting .318.
Ryan Jeffers has put his power on display as he paces his team with 16 home runs and 52 runs batted in.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Byron Buxton	0.5 (-220)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+285)	0.5 (+145)
Royce Lewis	0.5 (-225)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+170)
Manuel Margot	0.5 (-260)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+220)
Jose Miranda	0.5 (-255)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+140)
Brooks Lee	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (-170)	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+210)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

In six games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by oddsmakers, the Guardians had a record of 2-4.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 7-2-1 when it comes to hitting the over.
The Guardians have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	5.6
HR	17
ERA	4.75
K/9	8.4

Guardians Player Insights

Ramirez paces the Guardians with 30 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 96.
In all of MLB, Ramirez ranks fifth in home runs and second in RBI.
Ramirez carries a five-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .400 with a double, two home runs, two walks and five RBI.
Josh Naylor is batting .246 with 18 doubles, 25 home runs and 42 walks.
Naylor is currently 11th in home runs and sixth in RBI in the big leagues.
Steven Kwan leads the Guardians' lineup with a .332 batting average.
Andres Gimenez has 17 doubles, a triple, five home runs and 17 walks while hitting .256.

Guardians Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Will Brennan	0.5 (-210)	1.5 ()	0.5 (+850)	0.5 (+215)
Steven Kwan	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+245)
José Ramírez	0.5 (-225)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+425)	0.5 (+160)
Josh Naylor	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+145)
Daniel Schneemann	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (-185)	0.5 (+650)	0.5 (+215)