Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 4

Updated Sep. 4, 2023 5:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins versus Cleveland Guardians game on Monday at 6:10 PM ET will showcase a pair of hot hitters in Royce Lewis and Jose Ramirez. The Guardians are listed as +110 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the Twins (-129). Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). An 8-run over/under has been set for the contest.

The Minnesota Twins will hand the ball to Pablo Lopez (9-7, 3.72 ERA), who is looking for win No. 10 on the season, and the Guardians will counter with Lucas Giolito (7-11, 4.45 ERA).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Monday, September 4, 2023 at 6:10 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -129 +110 8 -111 -108 -1.5 +131 -154

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Guardians 49%

Twins vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Twins have won 53, or 58.2%, of the 91 games they've played as favorites this season.
  • Minnesota has entered 69 games this season favored by -129 or more and is 41-28 in those contests.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
  • The Guardians have been victorious in 31, or 44.3%, of the 70 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • Cleveland has a win-loss record of 18-30 when favored by +110 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins have a 3-2 record from the five games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Twins have a 7-3-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.1
HR 20
ERA 4.17
K/9 7.7

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Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Correa paces the Twins with 59 runs batted in while accumulating a team-best batting average of .228.
  • Of all hitters in the majors, Correa's home run total ranks him 106th, and his RBI tally puts him 92nd.
  • Correa takes a hitting streak of three games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .273 with two RBI.
  • Max Kepler has hit 21 home runs to pace his team.
  • Kepler heads into this matchup looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .278 with a double, two walks and an RBI.
  • Donovan Solano has 24 doubles, five home runs and 37 walks while hitting .294.
  • Willi Castro has 15 doubles, three triples, five home runs and 24 walks while batting .240.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+210)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-270) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+160)
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-185) 1.5 (+130) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+165)
Max Kepler 0.5 (-227) 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+360) 0.5 (+130)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Guardians have a record of 6-4.
  • The Guardians and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • The Guardians have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 12
ERA 4.65
K/9 7.9

Guardians Player Insights

  • Ramirez leads the Guardians with 21 home runs.
  • Among all hitters in the majors, Ramirez is 52nd in homers and 43rd in RBI.
  • Steven Kwan has a club-leading .272 batting average.
  • Among all MLB batters, Kwan is 292nd in home runs and 149th in RBI.
  • Josh Naylor paces the Guardians with 80 runs batted in.
  • Andres Gimenez is hitting .231 with 23 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 30 walks.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Ramírez - 1.5 (+110) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+170)
Josh Naylor 1.5 (+190) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+500) 0.5 (+140)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+155) 1.5 (+100) 0.5 (+1200) 0.5 (+255)
Ramón Laureano 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (-141) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+250)
Andrés Giménez 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+245)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Twins vs Guardians!

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