Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 5

Updated Sep. 5, 2023 6:00 p.m. ET
Data Skrive

Royce Lewis and the Minnesota Twins take on Steven Kwan and the Cleveland Guardians on Tuesday at 6:10 PM ET, in the second of a three-game series at Progressive Field. The Twins are favored in this one, at -122, while the underdog Guardians have +103 odds to upset. Minnesota is the run-line favorite (-1.5). The total is 8 runs for this game.

The starting pitchers are Sonny Gray (7-6) for the Minnesota Twins, and Tanner Bibee (10-3) for the Cleveland Guardians.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Guardians game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Guardians Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Tuesday, September 5, 2023 at 6:10 PM ET
  • Where: Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio
  • How to Watch on TV: BSGL
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -122 +103 8 -107 -113 -1.5 +141 -168

Twins vs. Guardians Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Guardians 5, Twins 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 51%, Guardians 49%

Twins vs. Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 92 times this season and won 54, or 58.7%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 48-32, a 60% win rate, when favored by -122 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55% chance to win.
  • The Guardians have been chosen as underdogs in 71 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (43.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Cleveland has come away with a win 23 times in 55 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 49.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins went 3-2 over the five games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
  • Over their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the run total seven times (all 10 games had set totals).
  • The Twins' ATS record is 7-3-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 7.4
HR 21
ERA 4.26
K/9 7.4

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Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Correa has a team-high batting average of .230 while leading the Twins in runs batted in (61).
  • Correa's home runs put him 92nd in the majors, and he is 86th in RBI.
  • Correa takes a hitting streak of four games into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .364 with a home run and four RBI.
  • Max Kepler has hit 21 home runs to pace his team.
  • Donovan Solano has 25 doubles, five home runs and 37 walks while batting .292.
  • Jorge Polanco is batting .265 with 14 doubles, 12 home runs and 30 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Jorge Polanco 0.5 (-196) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+350) 0.5 (+165)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-213) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+170)
Royce Lewis 0.5 (-233) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+425) 0.5 (+170)
Max Kepler 0.5 (-250) 1.5 (+105) 0.5 (+380) 0.5 (+135)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (-204) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+220)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Guardians matchup on Fox Sports.

Guardians Recent Betting Performance

  • The Guardians have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won six of those contests.
  • In their last 10 games with a total, the Guardians and their opponents are 5-5-0 when it comes to hitting the over.
  • The Guardians have a record of 6-4-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Guardians Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 5.90
K/9 7.8

Guardians Player Insights

  • Jose Ramirez has collected a team-high 21 home runs.
  • Among all batters in the big leagues, Ramirez is 54th in home runs and 43rd in RBI.
  • Kwan's .271 batting average leads his team.
  • Kwan ranks 291st in homers and 146th in RBI among all major league batters this year.
  • Josh Naylor has a team-best 80 runs batted in.
  • Andres Gimenez has 23 doubles, four triples, 12 home runs and 31 walks while batting .234.

Guardians Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
José Ramírez 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+650) 0.5 (+185)
Josh Naylor 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+160)
Steven Kwan 1.5 (+170) 1.5 (+115) - 0.5 (+225)
Myles Straw 0.5 (-169) 0.5 (-169) - 0.5 (+290)
Kole Calhoun 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (-179) 0.5 (+550) 0.5 (+185)

FOX Bet has the props and odds you need to get your betting on for Twins vs Guardians!

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