Twins vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 24

Updated Jul. 24, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Alex Kirilloff and the Minnesota Twins will try to defeat Julio Rodriguez and the Seattle Mariners at Target Field on Monday at 7:40 PM ET. The Twins are favored in this one, at -115, while the underdog Mariners have -104 odds to play spoiler. Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

The scheduled starters are Kenta Maeda (2-5) for the Minnesota Twins, and Luis Castillo (6-7) for the Seattle Mariners.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mariners game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

When: Monday, July 24, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-115	-104	8	-107	-113	-1.5	-187	+157

Twins vs. Mariners Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Mariners 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Mariners 47%

Twins vs. Mariners Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have been favored 64 times and won 40, or 62.5%, of those games.
Minnesota has a record of 39-23 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (42.4%) in those games.
This season, Seattle has come away with a win 12 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins played six of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times.
The Twins' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	5.9
HR	18
ERA	4.05
K/9	10.2

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Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 44 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .232.
Correa ranks 92nd in homers and 86th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Correa has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .227 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
Byron Buxton has shown his power as he paces his team with 17 home runs.
Buxton ranks 32nd in homers and 112th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Max Kepler is hitting .221 with eight doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
Kirilloff is batting .282 with 12 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Alex Kirilloff	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+200)
Carlos Correa	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+225)
Max Kepler	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+140)
Dónovan Solano	0.5 (-208)	0.5 (-208)	0.5 (+800)	0.5 (+215)
Michael A. Taylor	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (-120)	0.5 (+900)	0.5 (+330)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

The Mariners have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
Over their last 10 games, the Mariners are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.9
HR	13
ERA	4.50
K/9	11.1

Mariners Player Insights

Rodriguez is batting .244 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 33 walks.
Rodriguez's home run total puts him 66th in the big leagues, and he ranks 55th in RBI.
J.P. Crawford has a club-high .258 batting average.
Crawford is currently 172nd in homers and 142nd in RBI in the big leagues.
Ty France is batting .249 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.
Eugenio Suarez has racked up a team-leading 58 runs batted in.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.P. Crawford	0.5 (-238)	1.5 (+135)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+230)
Julio Rodríguez	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (-105)	0.5 (+400)	0.5 (+145)
Eugenio Suárez	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+390)	0.5 (+145)
Ty France	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+220)
Cal Raleigh	0.5 (-200)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+155)

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