Twins vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 24

Twins vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 24

Updated Jul. 24, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Alex Kirilloff and the Minnesota Twins will try to defeat Julio Rodriguez and the Seattle Mariners at Target Field on Monday at 7:40 PM ET. The Twins are favored in this one, at -115, while the underdog Mariners have -104 odds to play spoiler. Seattle is a 1.5-run favorite (at +157 odds). The over/under is 8 runs for this game (with -107 odds on the over and -113 odds on the under).

The scheduled starters are Kenta Maeda (2-5) for the Minnesota Twins, and Luis Castillo (6-7) for the Seattle Mariners.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mariners game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

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  • When: Monday, July 24, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
  • Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
  • How to Watch on TV: BSN
Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Over Total Odds Under Total Odds Run Line Favorite Run Line Odds Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins -115 -104 8 -107 -113 -1.5 -187 +157

Twins vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Mariners 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Mariners 47%

Twins vs. Mariners Betting Insights

  • This season, the Twins have been favored 64 times and won 40, or 62.5%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 39-23 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -115 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 33 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (42.4%) in those games.
  • This season, Seattle has come away with a win 12 times in 25 chances when named as an underdog of at least -104 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 51% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

  • The Twins played six of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
  • In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total eight times.
  • The Twins' ATS record is 5-5-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 8-2
Runs Per Game 5.9
HR 18
ERA 4.05
K/9 10.2

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Twins Player Insights

  • Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 44 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .232.
  • Correa ranks 92nd in homers and 86th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Correa has collected a hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .227 with a double, a home run, three walks and three RBI.
  • Byron Buxton has shown his power as he paces his team with 17 home runs.
  • Buxton ranks 32nd in homers and 112th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
  • Max Kepler is hitting .221 with eight doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
  • Kirilloff is batting .282 with 12 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks.

Twins Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
Alex Kirilloff 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+600) 0.5 (+200)
Carlos Correa 0.5 (-263) 1.5 (+120) 0.5 (+450) 0.5 (+225)
Max Kepler 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+115) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+140)
Dónovan Solano 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (-208) 0.5 (+800) 0.5 (+215)
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (-120) 0.5 (+900) 0.5 (+330)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

  • The Mariners have been underdogs once in the past 10 games and won that contest.
  • The Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times in their last 10 games with a total.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Mariners are 4-6-0 against the spread.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.9
HR 13
ERA 4.50
K/9 11.1

Mariners Player Insights

  • Rodriguez is batting .244 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 33 walks.
  • Rodriguez's home run total puts him 66th in the big leagues, and he ranks 55th in RBI.
  • J.P. Crawford has a club-high .258 batting average.
  • Crawford is currently 172nd in homers and 142nd in RBI in the big leagues.
  • Ty France is batting .249 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 21 walks.
  • Eugenio Suarez has racked up a team-leading 58 runs batted in.

Mariners Team Props

Hits O/U Total Bases O/U HR O/U RBI O/U
J.P. Crawford 0.5 (-238) 1.5 (+135) 0.5 (+750) 0.5 (+230)
Julio Rodríguez 1.5 (+185) 1.5 (-105) 0.5 (+400) 0.5 (+145)
Eugenio Suárez 0.5 (-204) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+390) 0.5 (+145)
Ty France 0.5 (-222) 1.5 (+145) 0.5 (+700) 0.5 (+220)
Cal Raleigh 0.5 (-200) 1.5 (+125) 0.5 (+330) 0.5 (+155)

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