Twins vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 25

Updated Jul. 25, 2023 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Carlos Correa and the Minnesota Twins will look to get to George Kirby when he starts for the Seattle Mariners on Tuesday at 7:40 PM ET. The Mariners are +103 moneyline underdogs in this matchup with the favored Twins (-123). Minnesota (-1.5) is favored on the run line. A 7.5-run over/under is set in this matchup.

The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Minnesota Twins looking to Pablo Lopez (5-6), and Kirby (9-8) getting the nod for the Seattle Mariners.

Take a look at everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mariners game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, July 25, 2023 at 7:40 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSN

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-123	+103	7.5	-111	-110	-1.5	+168	-204

Twins vs. Mariners Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Mariners 4
Total Prediction: Over 7.5 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Mariners 47%

Twins vs. Mariners Betting Insights

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 65 times this season and won 41, or 63.1%, of those games.
This season Minnesota has won 37 of its 57 games, or 64.9%, when favored by at least -123 on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 55.2% chance to win.
The Mariners have been underdogs in 34 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (41.2%) in those contests.
Seattle has a mark of 9-10 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +103 or worse on the moneyline.
Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mariners have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins played six of their last 10 games as a moneyline favorite, and won all of them.
Over their last 10 matchups (all had set totals), the Twins combined with their opponents to hit the over on the total seven times.
The Twins are 6-4-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	8-2
Runs Per Game	5.8
HR	17
ERA	3.91
K/9	10.1

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Twins Player Insights

Correa leads the Twins in runs batted in (45) and has accumulated a team-best batting average of .231.
Of all hitters in baseball, Correa's home run total ranks him 96th, and his RBI tally ranks him 83rd.
Correa carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .190 with a double, three walks and three RBI.
Max Kepler has nine doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks while batting .230.
Kepler carries a two-game streak with at least one hit into this matchup. In his last five games he is hitting .313 with two doubles, a walk and an RBI.
Alex Kirilloff is batting .282 with 13 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks.
Kirilloff has at least one base hit in two straight games. During his last five outings he is batting .250 with three doubles, a home run, two walks and five RBI.
Donovan Solano is hitting .265 with 20 doubles, four home runs and 33 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Willi Castro	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+195)
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+205)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+550)	0.5 (+205)
Max Kepler	-	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+130)
Alex Kirilloff	1.5 (+185)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+180)
Christian Vázquez	0.5 (-179)	0.5 (-208)	0.5 (+1100)	0.5 (+235)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

Over the past 10 games, the Mariners have been underdogs twice and split those games 1-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
The Mariners have a record of 4-6-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	3.8
HR	14
ERA	4.40
K/9	11.4

Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez is hitting .244 with 18 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs and 33 walks, while getting on base at a rate of .311.
Rodriguez ranks 66th in home runs and 58th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Rodriguez carries a three-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .200 with a home run, two walks and an RBI.
J.P. Crawford's .260 batting average is a team-high mark.
Crawford is 173rd in homers and 144th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Ty France has 24 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks while batting .247.
Eugenio Suarez has driven in the most runs for the Mariners with 58 runs batted in.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+130)	0.5 (+450)	0.5 (+190)
Julio Rodríguez	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+475)	0.5 (+180)
Cal Raleigh	0.5 (-204)	1.5 (+120)	0.5 (+360)	0.5 (+150)
J.P. Crawford	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+700)	0.5 (+225)
Ty France	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (-196)	0.5 (+750)	0.5 (+230)

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