Twins vs. Mariners Prediction, Odds, Picks - July 26

Updated Jul. 26, 2023 1:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

The Seattle Mariners and Eugenio Suarez hit the field in the final game of a three-game series against Max Kepler and the Minnesota Twins, on Wednesday at Target Field. The favored Twins have -146 moneyline odds against the underdog Mariners, who are listed at +125. Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at +142 odds). The contest's over/under is listed at 8 runs.

The Twins will give the ball to Joe Ryan (9-6) versus the Mariners and Bryce Miller (6-3).

Check out everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Mariners game, from the point spread, moneyline, Over/Under and expert picks (odds via FOX Bet):

Twins vs. Mariners Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, July 26, 2023 at 1:10 PM ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: MLB Network

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-146	+125	8	-120	+100	-1.5	+142	-169

Twins vs. Mariners Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Mariners 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 53%, Mariners 47%

Twins vs. Mariners Betting Insights

The Twins have won 41, or 62.1%, of the 66 games they've played as favorites this season.
Minnesota has a record of 22-14 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -146 on the moneyline.
The sportsbooks' moneyline implies a 59.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
The Mariners have come away with 15 wins in the 35 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
This season, Seattle has been victorious one time in eight chances when named as an underdog of at least +125 or longer on the moneyline.
The Mariners have an implied victory probability of 44.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins have a 5-1 record from the six games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 outings -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total seven times.
The Twins have gone 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	7-3
Runs Per Game	5.5
HR	17
ERA	4.11
K/9	10

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Twins Player Insights

Carlos Correa paces the Twins with 45 runs batted in while racking up a team-best batting average of .232.
Among all batters in the majors, Correa's home run total ranks him 96th, and his RBI tally ranks him 84th.
Correa carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. In his last five games he is batting .250 with two doubles, four walks and three RBI.
Kepler is hitting .234 with nine doubles, 14 home runs and 21 walks.
Kepler has three straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is hitting .368 with two doubles, a walk and two RBI.
Willi Castro is batting .243 with 10 doubles, two triples, five home runs and 19 walks.
Alex Kirilloff is batting .275 with 13 doubles, a triple, eight home runs and 25 walks.

Twins Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Carlos Correa	1.5 (+200)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+350)	0.5 (+170)
Alex Kirilloff	1.5 (+190)	1.5 (+100)	0.5 (+500)	0.5 (+175)
Max Kepler	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+330)	0.5 (+125)
Matt Wallner	0.5 (-213)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+380)	0.5 (+150)
Willi Castro	0.5 (-263)	1.5 (+110)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+165)

Learn more about this Twins vs. Mariners matchup on Fox Sports.

Mariners Recent Betting Performance

In three games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Mariners have a record of 2-1.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Mariners and their opponents have combined to hit the over five times.
The Mariners have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Mariners Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	6-4
Runs Per Game	4.7
HR	17
ERA	4.50
K/9	12.1

Mariners Player Insights

Julio Rodriguez has swatted a team-leading 16 long balls.
Rodriguez ranks 47th in home runs and 50th in RBI among all hitters in MLB.
Rodriguez takes a hitting streak of four games into this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .238 with three home runs, two walks and four RBI.
J.P. Crawford has a club-leading .261 batting average.
Crawford is 174th in home runs and 144th in RBI among all major league hitters this season.
Ty France is batting .247 with 24 doubles, seven home runs and 22 walks.
Suarez has driven in the most runs for the Mariners with 60 runs batted in.

Mariners Team Props

	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
J.P. Crawford	0.5 (-244)	1.5 (+125)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+210)
Julio Rodríguez	1.5 (+180)	1.5 (-110)	0.5 (+340)	0.5 (+160)
Ty France	0.5 (-222)	1.5 (+145)	0.5 (+600)	0.5 (+230)
Teoscar Hernández	0.5 (-227)	1.5 (+115)	0.5 (+320)	0.5 (+150)
Cal Raleigh	0.5 (-208)	1.5 (+105)	0.5 (+260)	0.5 (+140)

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