Twins vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 23, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Jonah Bride and the Miami Marlins head into a matchup with Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -245, while the underdog Marlins have +201 odds to play spoiler. Minnesota (-1.5) is the favorite on the run line. An 8-run total is listed in this matchup.

Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Marlins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the top moments between the Atlanta Braves and the Miami Marlins.

Twins vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-245	+201	8	-116	-104	-1.5	-110	-110

Twins vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 58%, Marlins 42%

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

The Twins have entered the game as favorites 107 times this season and won 62, or 57.9%, of those games.
Minnesota is undefeated in nine games this season when favored by -245 or more on the moneyline.
The Twins have a 71% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
The Marlins have been underdogs in 139 games this season and have come away with the win 53 times (38.1%) in those contests.
This season, Miami has come away with a win seven times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +201 or longer on the moneyline.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 33.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins went 2-6 over the eight games they were favored on the moneyline in their last 10 matchups.
In their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the run total six times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
The Twins' ATS record is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	3
ERA	4.99
K/9	10.3

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana paces the Twins with 22 home runs and 65 runs batted in.
Santana's home runs place him 50th in the majors, and he is 79th in RBI.
Castro's .249 batting average paces his team.
Castro ranks 174th in homers and 105th in RBI in the major leagues.
Carlos Correa is hitting .307 with 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
Ryan Jeffers is hitting .225 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 3-7.
When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 3-5-2 in their last 10 games with a total.
The Marlins have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4.0
HR	11
ERA	6.41
K/9	8.3

Marlins Player Insights

Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 28 home runs and 69 runs batted in, while posting a team-high batting average of .248.
Among all hitters in the majors, Burger's home run total is 26th and his RBI tally is 70th.
Burger carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is hitting .353 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
Jesus Sanchez is hitting .247 with 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 37 walks.
Sanchez is currently 98th in homers and 88th in RBI in the big leagues.
Otto Lopez has 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .264.
Xavier Edwards is hitting .311 with nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 28 walks.