Twins vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 24

Updated Sep. 24, 2024 7:00 p.m. ET

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Jake Burger will lead the Miami Marlins into a matchup with Kyle Farmer and the Minnesota Twins on Tuesday at 7:40 p.m. ET, in the first game of a three-game series at Target Field. The Marlins are +200 moneyline underdogs in this matchup against the favored Twins (-246). Minnesota is a 1.5-run favorite (at -111 odds). The matchup's total has been listed at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

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Twins vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Tuesday, September 24, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Twins vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 58%, Marlins 42%

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 62 out of the 107 games, or 57.9%, in which they've been favored.
• Minnesota has been at least -246 moneyline favorites nine times this season and won each of those games.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 71.1% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 53, or 38.1%, of the 139 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This season, Miami has come away with a win seven times in 20 chances when named as an underdog of at least +200 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 33.3% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

MIA 4 · MIN 1

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+201

O 8

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-251

U 8

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have a 2-6 record from the eight games they were favored on the moneyline over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total six times.
• The Twins have a 4-6-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Carlos Santana has a team-best 22 home runs and 65 runs batted in.
• Including all MLB hitters, Santana is 109th in batting average, 78th in on-base percentage, and 74th in slugging.
• Willi Castro's .249 batting average paces his team.
• Castro is 173rd in homers in MLB, and 105th in RBI.
• Carlos Correa is batting .307 with 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers has 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks while hitting .225.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-7.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger leads the Marlins with 28 home runs and 69 runs batted in, while recording a team-best batting average of .248.
• Among all hitters in the big leagues, Burger's home run total ranks 26th and his RBI tally ranks 70th.
• Burger brings a hitting streak of four games into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .353 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
• Jesus Sanchez has 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 37 walks while hitting .247.
• Sanchez is 99th among all hitters in the majors in homers, and 90th in RBI.
• Otto Lopez has 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks while hitting .264.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .311 with nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 28 walks.

Marlins Team Props

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FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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