Twins vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 25, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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The Minnesota Twins and Miami Marlins will send Simeon Woods Richardson and Edward Cabrera, respectively, out to start when the two clubs play on Wednesday at Target Field, at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Twins are the favorite in this one, at -195, while the underdog Marlins have +162 odds to upset. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The total is 8.5 runs for the matchup (with -112 odds to hit the over and -108 odds to go under).

Here's everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Twins-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins game on September 24th, 2024.

Twins vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Twins vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 57%, Marlins 43%

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• The Twins have won 62, or 57.4%, of the 108 games they've played as favorites this season.
• This season Minnesota has won 17 of its 20 games, or 85%, when favored by at least -195 on the moneyline.
• Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 66.1% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been chosen as underdogs in 140 games this year and have walked away with the win 54 times (38.6%) in those games.
• Miami has a win-loss record of 17-32 when favored by +162 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

FINAL

MIA 3 · MIN 8

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+161

O 8.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-195

U 8.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins played as the moneyline favorite for eight of their last 10 games, and went 2-6 in those matchups.
• In their last 10 outings (all 10 of them had set totals), the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over five times.
• The Twins' record against the spread is 4-6-0 over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Carlos Santana has gone yard 22 times in the 2024 campaign while knocking in 65 runs, both totals that lead the Twins.
• In all of Major League Baseball, Santana is 52nd in home runs and 81st in RBI.
• Willi Castro's .250 batting average is a team-high mark.
• Castro ranks 174th in home runs and 106th in RBI on the season.
• Carlos Correa is hitting .308 with 19 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
• Ryan Jeffers is batting .224 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 32 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• In 10 games as underdogs over the last 10 matchups, the Marlins have a record of 3-7.
• When it comes to hitting the over, the Marlins and their opponents are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games with a total.
• The Marlins are 5-5-0 ATS over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 28 home runs and runs batted in, driving in 69.
• Among all hitters in MLB, Burger's home run total ranks 26th and his RBI tally ranks 70th.
• Jesus Sanchez is hitting .247 to lead the lineup.
• Sanchez ranks 99th overall in home runs and 91st in RBI this year.
• Otto Lopez is batting .264 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 24 walks.
• Xavier Edwards has 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 29 walks while hitting .314.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments from the Miami Marlins and Minnesota Twins game on September 24th, 2024.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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