Twins vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 25

Updated Sep. 24, 2024 10:01 p.m. ET

Data Skrive

Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins will square off against the Miami Marlins and Jesus Sanchez on Wednesday at 7:40 p.m. ET, at Target Field. Bookmakers list the Twins as -193 moneyline favorites, while giving the underdog Marlins +162 moneyline odds. Minnesota is favored on the run line (-1.5). The total for the matchup has been set at 8 runs.

Here's everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Braves vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the best moments and plays from the Atlanta Braves and Minnesota Twins game on August 26th, 2024.

Twins vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Wednesday, September 25, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Favorite	Favorite Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line	Favorite Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Twins	-193	+162	8	-115	-105	-1.5	+107	-128

Twins vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
Win Probabilities: Twins 58%, Marlins 42%

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Twins have been favored 107 times and won 62, or 57.9%, of those games.
Minnesota has a record of 17-2 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -193 on the moneyline.
The implied probability of a win from the Twins, based on the moneyline, is 65.9%.
The Marlins have been underdogs in 139 games this season and have come away with the win 53 times (38.1%) in those contests.
Miami has a win-loss record of 16-32 when favored by +162 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

Twins Recent Betting Performance

The Twins went 2-6 over the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
Over their last 10 matchups, the Twins and their opponents combined to go over the total six times (all 10 games had set totals).
The Twins have gone 4-6-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	3.5
HR	3
ERA	4.99
K/9	10.3

Twins Player Insights

Carlos Santana has gone yard 22 times in the 2024 campaign while driving in 65 runs, both totals that lead the Twins.
Santana is 50th in homers and 79th in RBI among all hitters in baseball.
Castro's .249 batting average is a team-high mark.
Castro ranks 173rd in homers and 105th in RBI in the major leagues.
Carlos Correa is batting .307 with 18 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 36 walks.
Ryan Jeffers is hitting .225 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 31 walks.

Learn more about this Twins vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

In 10 games over the last 10 matchups when set as underdogs by sportsbooks, the Marlins had a record of 3-7.
In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over seven times.
The Marlins have won five of their last 10 games against the spread.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	3-7
Runs Per Game	4
HR	11
ERA	6.41
K/9	8.3

Marlins Player Insights

Jake Burger leads the Marlins with 28 home runs and 69 runs batted in, while posting a team-best batting average of .248.
Among all batters in MLB, Burger is 26th in homers and 70th in RBI.
Burger carries a four-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .353 with a double, two home runs, two walks and three RBI.
Sanchez is hitting .247 with 24 doubles, a triple, 18 home runs and 37 walks.
Sanchez ranks 99th in homers and 90th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
Otto Lopez is hitting .264 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 23 walks.
Xavier Edwards has nine doubles, two triples, a home run and 28 walks while batting .311.