Twins vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 7:01 p.m. ET

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Carlos Santana and the Minnesota Twins play Jesus Sanchez and the Miami Marlins at Target Field on Thursday. First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET. The Twins are favored in this one, at -261, while the underdog Marlins have +211 odds to win. Minnesota (-1.5) is favored on the run line. The game's over/under has been listed at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Twins vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 58%, Marlins 42%

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have been favored 109 times and won 63, or 57.8%, of those games.
• Minnesota has been at least -261 moneyline favorites six times this season and won each of those games.
• Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 72.3% chance to win.
• The Marlins have been victorious in 54, or 38.3%, of the 141 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• This year, Miami has won three of 13 games when listed as at least +211 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 32.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.

FINAL (13)

MIA 8 · MIN 6

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+212

O 8.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-262

U 8.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have a 3-5 record across the eight games they were a moneyline favorite in their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 matchups -- all had a set run total -- the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over on the total five times.
• The Twins are 5-5-0 against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• Santana paces the Twins with 22 home runs and 68 runs batted in.
• Santana's home runs place him 54th in MLB, and he ranks 76th in RBI.
• Willi Castro is hitting .250 to lead his team.
• Castro ranks 174th in home runs and 112th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Castro heads into this game looking for his third game in a row with a hit. In his last five games he is hitting .263 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
• Carlos Correa has 20 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 37 walks while batting .309.
• Correa is on a two-game hitting streak entering this contest. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
• Ryan Jeffers is batting .224 with 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 32 walks.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have failed to hit the over six times.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Jake Burger paces the Marlins in home runs (29), runs batted in (72) and has put up a team-high batting average of .247.
• Burger ranks 23rd in home runs and 64th in RBI among all hitters in the majors.
• Sanchez has a club-leading .247 batting average.
• Sanchez is 99th overall in home runs and 93rd in RBI this season.
• Otto Lopez is batting .264 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 24 walks.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .316 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 29 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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MLB - Miami Marlins vs. Minnesota Twins - 09/26/2024

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