Twins vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks - September 26

Updated Sep. 26, 2024 6:01 p.m. ET

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Willi Castro and the Minnesota Twins take on Jake Burger and the Miami Marlins on Thursday at 7:40 p.m. ET, in the final of a three-game series at Target Field. The favored Twins have -261 moneyline odds against the underdog Marlins, who are listed at +211. Minnesota is the favorite on the run line (-1.5). The over/under for the contest is set at 8.5 runs.

Here is everything you need from a betting perspective on the Twins-Marlins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins.

Twins vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

• When: Thursday, September 26, 2024 at 7:40 p.m. ET
• Where: Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota
• How to Watch on TV: BSFL

Twins vs. Marlins Prediction

• Score Prediction: Twins 5, Marlins 4
• Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
• Win Probabilities: Twins 58%, Marlins 42%

Twins vs. Marlins Betting Insights

• This season, the Twins have won 63 out of the 109 games, or 57.8%, in which they've been favored.
• Minnesota is undefeated in six games this season when favored by -261 or more on the moneyline.
• The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.3% chance of a victory for the Twins.
• The Marlins have won in 54, or 38.3%, of the 141 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
• This year, Miami has won three of 13 games when listed as at least +211 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 32.2% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.

Thu 11:40 PM

BSFL

MLB

RUN LINE

TO WIN

TOTAL

Miami Marlins

MIA

+1.5

+211

O 8.5

Minnesota Twins

MIN

-1.5

-261

U 8.5

Twins Recent Betting Performance

• The Twins have a 3-5 record from the eight games they were moneyline favorites over their last 10 matchups.
• In their last 10 outings, the Twins and their opponents combined to hit the over five times (all 10 of the games had set totals).
• The Twins have put together a 5-5-0 record against the spread over their past 10 games.

Twins Recent Stats

Twins Player Insights

• The Twins' best power option comes in the form of Carlos Santana and his 22-dinger 68-RBI season, both team highs.
• In all of the majors, Santana ranks 54th in home runs and 76th in RBI.
• Castro's .250 batting average leads his team.
• Castro is 174th in homers and 111th in RBI in the major leagues.
• Castro has two straight games with at least one hit. During his last five outings he is batting .263 with a double, two walks and two RBI.
• Carlos Correa is hitting .309 with 20 doubles, two triples, 13 home runs and 37 walks.
• Correa will look to build on his two-game hitting in this game. During his last five outings he is hitting .263 with two doubles, three walks and two RBI.
• Ryan Jeffers has 22 doubles, 20 home runs and 32 walks while hitting .224.

Twins Team Props

Learn more about this Twins vs. Marlins matchup on Fox Sports.

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

• The Marlins have played as underdogs in 10 of their past 10 games and won three of those contests.
• In their last 10 games with a total, the Marlins and their opponents have combined to hit the over four times.
• The Marlins have five wins against the spread in their last 10 chances.

Marlins Recent Stats

Marlins Player Insights

• Burger leads the squad with a batting average of .247, and leads the Marlins in home runs, with 29 and runs batted in with 72.
• Burger is 23rd in home runs and 64th in RBI among all hitters in the big leagues.
• Jesus Sanchez's .247 batting average leads his team.
• Sanchez is currently 99th in home runs and 91st in RBI in the big leagues.
• Otto Lopez is hitting .264 with 21 doubles, a triple, six home runs and 24 walks.
• Xavier Edwards is batting .316 with 10 doubles, two triples, a home run and 29 walks.

Marlins Team Props

Marlins vs. Twins Highlights | MLB on FOX

Check out the greatest moments and plays in this matchup between the Miami Marlins and the Minnesota Twins.

FOX Sports created this story using technology provided by Data Skrive and data from Sportradar.

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